Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 9/15/24
At 4:10 PM ET, the Brewers and Diamondbacks face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -156 compared to the Brewers at +132. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Milwaukee has won three straight and is 86-62, putting them first in the NL Central. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West with a record of 82-66 and have Zac Gallen on the mound Sunday. The Brewers are starting DL Hall, and he will be facing a Diamondbacks lineup that includes Ketel Marte, Nick Ahmed, and Eduardo Escobar.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -156
This game will be played at Chase Field at 4:10 ET on Sunday, September 15th.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS DIAMONDBACKS:
- We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Brewers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Diamondbacks by a score of 15-8. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Diamondbacks and struck out four more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +131 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Tobias Myers for the Brewers and Brandon Pfaadt for the Diamondbacks. Myers only went six innings but gave up just four hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Pfaadt was tagged for eight runs in just 1 2/3 innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two-through-six hitters did the most damage, as they combined to go 11/20 with three homers and 12 RBI. Willy Adames and William Contreras each had two hits and drove in five runs.
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee is on a three-game winning streak, and they lead the NL Central with an overall record of 86-62. Currently, the Cubs are 11.0 games behind them in the division. The Brewers have gone 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central this year.
At home, the Brewers have gone 42-29 this year, and they have been really good on the road, putting together a record of 44-33. As the road underdog, the Brewers are 27-17 this year, and they have won three straight series on the road. Their overall series record is 26-17-4, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
The Brewers have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 42-35. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 42-20 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while it drops to -2.8 in losses.
When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs on average. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 76-63. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 28-23. So far this season, 30 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 20.3% of their games.
Left-hander DL Hall is getting the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 4.01. Hall’s WHIP for the season is 1.54, and opponents are batting .263 off him this year. In his last outing, Hall came out of the bullpen and went 1 2/3 innings, giving up one hit and one walk. He didn’t allow a run in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight appearances. Hall’s last outing came on September 10th.
William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Brewers, going 9/27 in his last eight games with two homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s 2nd spot in batting average (.280) and RBIs (88). Willy Adames has also been a big run producer for the Brewers this season, as his 107 RBIs are the 2nd most in the league. Adames also leads the team with 32 homers but is batting just .253 for the season.
As a team, the Brewers are 6th in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.0 runs per contest. Overall, they have the 7th best team batting average in the MLB. Currently, the Brewers have three players with at least 20 homers.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
Arizona is 82-66 overall this season, and they trail the Dodgers by five games in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Brewers 0-2. So far, they have gone 25-18 against other teams in the NL West.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 41-33 this season, and they are also 41-33 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona is 47-28 this year and 35-38 as the underdog. Arizona has an overall series record of 26-17-4 heading into today’s game.
Arizona is 34-40 against the run line at home this season, and they have failed to cover in their last two games at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks are 45-28 against the run line as underdogs this season, and their average run differential in winning games is +4.2 runs per game.
The Diamondbacks have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 10.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 85-56, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 32-18. Overall, 36.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, while 29.7% have had lower lines. Today’s over/under line for their game against the Brewers is set at 8.5 runs.
Zac Gallen has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 12-6. His ERA is 3.54, along with a WHIP of 1.26. In his 25 appearances, Gallen has turned in 11 quality starts. Looking at his numbers, Gallen has a BB/9 figure of 3.34 compared to 9.07 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Gallen picked up the win, going five innings and not allowing a run. In that outing, he gave up two hits, two walks, and didn’t allow a homer. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.
Arizona comes into today’s game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. Not only do the Diamondbacks lead the league in on-base percentage and slugging percentage, but they also have the best team OPS in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .263, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.
Leading the Diamondbacks offense this season has been Eugenio Suarez, who is 13th in the league with 28 home runs and has driven in 92 runs. He has been even better over his last six games, going 12/22 with four homers. Ketel Marte is hitting .293 for the season and has gone deep 31 times this year.