San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 9/14/24
Joe Musgrove will start for the Padres on Saturday, and he is facing off against Mason Black and the Giants. This NL West matchup has the Padres as the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -155 compared to the Giants at +131. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
First pitch from Oracle Park is set for 9:05 PM ET, and the Padres are looking to gain ground on the Giants in the division, as they are 83-65 compared to the Giants at 72-76. San Francisco has dropped two in a row.
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline +131
This game will be played at Oracle Park at 9:05 ET on Saturday, September 14th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS GIANTS:
- We have the Giants winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Giants to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
San Diego cruised to an easy 5-0 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Giants, they had their best chance to score in the 4th, but could only muster one run.
Dylan Cease started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued two walks. Logan Webb had a rough outing for the Giants, taking the loss after going just four innings and giving up three earned runs.
At the plate, Fernando Tatis Jr. and Luis Arraez each had three hits and scored a run for the Padres. Jackson Merrill also had a good game at the plate, going 3/4 with two RBIs.
Padres Records & Stats
With an overall record of 83-65, the Padres are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they are 22-22 in divisional games. The Padres are on the road today, and they have been good away from home, going 43-30.
This season, the Padres have been the favorite in 94 games, and they have a record of 53-41 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, they are 30-24. San Diego’s overall series record is 28-14-6, and they are currently up 1-0 in their series vs. the Giants.
When the Padres win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, which has helped them to a 46-27 run line record on the road. Overall, they have a run line record of 75-73, as they have played to an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game this season. They have been a better bet on the road, where their average run margin is 1.1 runs per game, compared to -0.1 runs per game at home.
When the Padres are on the road this season, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in 46 games, and their over/under record in those games is 23-23. Overall, the Padres have played in 86 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 58.1% of their games this season.
Right-hander Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Giants on the road. This year, he has made 16 starts and seven of them have been quality starts. Musgrove’s ERA for the season is 4.54, along with a record of 5-5. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is 1.28, and opponents are batting .262 off him this year.
San Diego’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are the top hitting team in the league and are 8th in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS.
Luis Arraez has been on a tear of late for the Padres, going 17/36 (.472) over his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .320 and is 2nd on the team in RBIs. Manny Machado has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/33 (.303) with three homers in his last eight games. Machado is 1st on the team and 10th in the league with 95 RBIs.
Giants Records & Stats
With a record of 72-76, the Giants are 15.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. Overall, they are 24-23 in divisional games. The Giants will take the field today having dropped two straight games, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Giants are 41-35 this season compared to 31-41 on the road. As the underdog, the Giants are 27-44 this season, and they have lost three straight as the underdog overall. When favored, the Giants are 45-32 this season, and they are 8-14 as the home underdog this year.
The Giants are 33-43 against the run line at home this season, and their average run margin is +0.2 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 40 of 72 road games this season, and their average run margin in those games is -0.5 runs per game.
The Giants are playing at home against the Padres today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 74-68. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 29-25. This season, 50.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and 13.5% have had lines set lower. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Right-hander Mason Black gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Padres at home. Black has made five starts this season and has a record of 0-3 with a 7.50 ERA. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. Looking back at his last three outings, Black has given up at least two earned runs in each. Opponents are batting .301 off Black this season, and his WHIP is 1.62. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.25 strikeouts and 3 walks.
For the season, the Giants are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This is also where they rank in terms of home runs, as they have a total of 157 homers. As a team, they are batting just .239, which is 15th in the league, and are also just 16th in on-base percentage. San Francisco’s team OPS of .701 is also 16th in the MLB.
Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos have been the Giants’ top power threats this season, with Chapman leading the team with 24 homers and Ramos right behind him with 20. Chapman has also driven in 73 runs, which is the best mark on the team. Over his last six games, Chapman is just 5/22, but he has gone deep twice. Patrick Bailey is hitting .400 over his last six games, and Jerar Encarnacion and Grant McCray also have two homers in their last four and six games, respectively.