Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 9/11/24
Wednesday’s matchup between the Marlins and Pirates has a first pitch set for 12:35 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The money line odds have the Pirates at -178, while the Marlins are the slight underdog at +150. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Miami will be looking to end a two-game losing streak, as they are 54-91 overall, while the Pirates are 69-76 and have won three straight. Jonathan Bermudez is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Bailey Falter for the Pirates. This NL matchup can be seen on SN PT.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline -178
This game will be played at PNC Park at 12:35 ET on Wednesday, September 11th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS PIRATES:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Pittsburgh picked up a 6-4 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 5th and added their final run in the 9th.
Carmen Mlodzinski only went two innings for the Pirates but didn’t give up a run and struck out one. Joey Wentz got the win out of the bullpen, and Aroldis Chapman got the save. Adam Oller had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss.
Andrew McCutchen and Bryan Reynolds each had two hits and three RBIs for the Pirates’ offense. Isiah Kiner-Falefa also had a two-hit game and scored a run. Jhonny Pereda had a three-hit game for the Marlins.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 54-91, putting them 33 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, they are 16 games below .500 at 16-29. The Marlins have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Pirates 0-2.
At home, the Marlins are just 28-47 this season, and they are 26-44 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 50-77 this season and just 4-14 when favored. Miami’s overall series record is 11-26-9, and they have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line, the Marlins are 68-77 on the season. They are 36-34 on the road, where they have a run differential of -1.0 runs per game. Miami has been an underdog in 127 of their games and has covered the run line in 66 of those contests.
The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 9.0. The Marlins have an over/under record of 79-62 on the season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 28-23. This season, 17.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Jonathan Bermúdez will be making his first start of the season for the Marlins as they take on the Pirates on the road. Bermúdez has made two appearances out of the bullpen so far, and in his last outing, he went one inning, allowing one run on one hit. He did strike out two batters in that appearance.
The Marlins offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and on-base percentage. However, they do come into the game with a collective batting average of .241, which is 12th best in the league.
Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 home runs are 15th best in the league. He also comes into the game as the team’s leader in RBIs. Over his last four games, Connor Norby has gone 5/17 with three homers, while Otto Lopez has gone 10/21 with one home run over his last five games.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is 69-76 overall and 14.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates have gone 22-20 against other teams in the NL Central. Currently, they are on a three-game winning streak, and they have won three straight at home as the favorite.
So far, the Pirates are 21-20 when favored at home and 37-50 as the underdog. This season, they are 36-38 at home compared to 33-38 on the road. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 19-21-6, and they have taken two straight games in this series vs. the Marlins.
When the Pirates win, they do so by an average of 3.2 runs per game. That’s helped them to an 80-65 run line record on the season. They’ve been a better bet on the road, going 43-28 against the run line. They’ve also been a better bet as an underdog, going 57-30 against the run line. Their run line record is even at home, where they’ve been favored 74 times and gone 23-35 against the run line.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have played in 21 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 30-22. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 72-71. The over/under line for today’s game against the Miami Marlins is set at 8.5 runs.
Bailey Falter is looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Nationals. In that September 5th outing, he went 5 innings, giving up 3 earned runs, and 1 homer. Looking back over his last four outings, Falter has finished with a no-decision in three straight starts. He has a record of 7-7 this season and an ERA of 4.45. Opponents are batting .263 this season vs. the left-hander. Falter has made 24 starts, seven of which were quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.23 strikeouts and 2.67 walks.
Andrew McCutchen has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Pirates, going 5/14 in his last four games with two homers. McCutchen is 2nd on the team with 20 homers but is batting just .241 for the season. Bryan Reynolds has been a bright spot for the Pirates this season, leading the team with a batting average of .277 and 83 RBIs. Reynolds also has 22 homers.
Overall, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game and are 22nd in home runs. As a team, they are batting just .236 and have the league’s 26th worst strikeout rate. Currently, the Pirates have four players on a three-game hitting streak.