Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24

The Guardians and White Sox face off in an AL Central matchup at 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday. This one is being played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, and the Guardians are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -222 compared to the White Sox at +186. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Cleveland will be starting Ben Lively, while the White Sox are sending Jonathan Cannon to the mound. The Guardians are currently 1st in the AL Central with a record of 82-62, while the White Sox are 5th in the division at 33-112. NBCS will be televising this game.

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS CHICAGO WHITE SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field at 7:40 ET on Tuesday, September 10th.

HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS WHITE SOX:

  • We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Cleveland picked up a 5-3 road win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run lead after the first inning and never trailed in the game. As for the White Sox, they scored their only run in the 7th and added two more in the 8th.

Joey Cantillo pitched well for the Guardians in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but didn’t factor into the decision. Emmanuel Clase got the save. Jared Shuster had a rough outing for the White Sox, taking the loss.

At the plate, Cleveland was led by Bo Naylor and David Fry, as they were the only two Guardians hitters to have more than one hit. Naylor, Josh Naylor, and Harold Ramirez each homered for Cleveland’s offense.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is leading the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Royals and have an overall record of 82-62. The Guardians have been good at home this season, going 43-25, and they are just above .500 on the road at 39-37. So far, they have gone 25-21 in divisional matchups.

So far, the Guardians have been favored in 87 of their games, and they have gone 57-30 in those games. As the underdog, Cleveland is just under .500 at 25-32. They have won three straight games as the favorite. Cleveland’s overall series record is 26-14-5, and they are up 1-0 in this series vs. the White Sox.

When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have a run line record of 39-37. Their average run margin for the season is 0.5 runs per game. They have a run line record of 72-72 overall. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.3 runs per game. Their average run margin in losing games is -3.2 runs per game. They have covered the run line in each of their last three games.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is right on the nose for the Cleveland Guardians, as their games have averaged exactly 8.5 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 65-68, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they are 20-20. The under has hit in their last two games, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs in 20.1% of their games this season.

Cleveland is sending Ben Lively to the mound today vs. the White Sox, and he comes in with a record of 11-9 and an ERA of 4.07. Lively has made 25 starts this season and has a WHIP of 1.25. Looking back at his last outing, Lively took the loss vs. the Royals, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins came at home, where he is 7-2 this season. On the road, Lively is 4-7 with a 4.42 ERA.

So far this season, the Guardians have been a slightly above average offense, averaging 4.5 runs per game. However, they have been better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .238, which is 17th in the league, and have the worst team BABIP in the league. One thing to note is that they have been good at putting the ball in play, as they have the league’s 3rd fewest strikeouts.

Jose Ramirez has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 34 homers are 8th in the league. He also comes into the game with the 2nd most RBIs in the league (106). Over his last five games, Lane Thomas has gone 5/20 with a home run and three RBIs.

White Sox Records & Stats

With an overall record of 33-112, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 49.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-39 this year. Chicago has dropped 9.0 games behind the Tigers for 4th place in the division.

At home, the White Sox are just 18-55 this season, which is the worst home record in the AL. On the road, they are 15-57. Chicago has dropped eight straight home games and are 13-53 as the home underdog this year. So far, they have an even worse record in day games, going 12-45.

The White Sox are 29-44 vs. the run line at home this season and have failed to cover in their last four games at Guaranteed Rate Field. They are 5-3 vs. the run line as the favorite, but 53-84 as the underdog.

Chicago White Sox games have gone under the total in two straight games, and the under has hit in 48.3% of their games this season. The White Sox have a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game, and their games have an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, Chicago’s games have gone over the total 18 times and under 22 times. Overall, the over/under record for the White Sox this season is 62-75.

Jonathan Cannon will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Orioles. In that September 4th outing, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Cannon has made 17 starts and six of them have been quality starts. The right-hander’s record for the season is 3-9, and his ERA is 4.53. For the year, he has allowed 15 homers, and his ERA on the road is 9.12 compared to 4.53 at home.

Chicago’s offense has really struggled this season, as they are dead last in home runs and are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the majors. The White Sox are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .221.

Andrew Vaughn has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/25 over his last seven games, including two home runs. For the season, he is batting .244 with a team-high 17 homers and 63 RBIs. Andrew Benintendi is also near the top of the White Sox home run and RBI leaderboards, but he is batting just .223 for the season.