New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 9/9/24
The Mets are the favorite on the money line today, with their odds sitting at -116 compared to the Blue Jays, who are at -105. This interleague matchup is set for 7:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. Paul Blackburn is starting for the Mets, and the Blue Jays are going with Chris Bassitt.
New York is 78-65 and 2nd in the NL East, while the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East with a record of 68-76. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and SNET is carrying this one on TV.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -105
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Monday, September 9th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with a 3-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Reds scored two runs in the top of the 9th. New York was the -210 favorite at home going into the game.
Luis Severino was excellent for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out eight. However, the Mets couldn’t close things out, and Phil Maton took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mets also wasted a big game from Harrison Bader, who went 2/3 with a run scored.
The Mets are seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East as they are 78-65 overall. New York is 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. New York is looking for a win today as they are just 38-31 on the road this year.
As the favorite, the Mets have gone 51-36 and 27-29 as the underdog. They have won four straight games on the road, and their overall series record is 25-16-8. New York has won four straight series, and they are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall.
Despite being just a game over .500 against the run line overall, the Mets have been a solid bet on the road, where they are 39-30. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 33-23 as the underdog against the run line this season.
The New York Mets are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Mets have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 71-68. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-18. So far this season, 35 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 24.5% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
New York is sending right-hander Paul Blackburn to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 5-4 with a 4.66 ERA. Blackburn’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29, and he has turned in seven quality starts. In his most recent outing, Blackburn took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work vs. the Padres. Before that, he had given up at least six earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .252 off Blackburn this season.
As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 5th in the league in home runs and have the 11th best batting average in the league. The Mets are also one of the better teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts, as they are 17th in the league in that category.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as they have 30 and 31 home runs, respectively. Lindor comes into the game batting .270, while Alonso’s batting average is at .240. Lindor is also the team’s current leader in RBIs. Over his last seven games, Mark Vientos is hitting .370 with three homers.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Braves scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Toronto was the +227 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Offensively, the Blue Jays only had three fewer hits than the Braves but scored just three runs. All of their runs came in the 2nd inning. Spencer Horwitz was hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a homer and two RBIs.
Toronto is 68-76 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East. Currently, they are 14.5 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead and are 5th in the AL East. The Blue Jays went 20-26 in their first 46 division games.
At home, the Blue Jays are 34-35 this season while going 34-41 on the road. Toronto has really struggled as the underdog this year, going 27-48. As for their time as the favorite, they are 41-28. The Blue Jays have dropped two straight at home and are 6-14 as the home underdog this year. Toronto’s overall series record is 16-24-6, and they lost the last three series.
When the Blue Jays are underdogs, they are a solid bet against the run line at 42-33. They have a run line record of 73-71 overall, but they are just 25-44 against the run line at home. Their average run margin in games they win is +3.3, while their average run margin in games they lose is -3.7.
The Blue Jays have played 28 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs this season, and their record in those games is 23-19. Their combined run average for the season is 8.9 runs per game, and their overall over/under record is 75-66. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and they have played 51.4% of their games with lower lines than today’s 8.5-run line.
Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and comes into the game with a record of 9-13 and an ERA of 4.30. So far this season, he has made 28 starts, and opponents are batting .263 off the right-hander. Bassitt’s ERA at home is 5.8 compared to 4.07 on the road. He has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.94 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Bassitt finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two home runs in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, also averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 14th in the MLB, and are also one of the better teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts. Toronto’s team on-base percentage is 11th in the league.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .324 with a league-leading 94 RBIs and 28 home runs. He is also on a 10-game hitting streak. George Springer has 19 homers this season but is batting just .222. One player to keep an eye on is Spencer Horwitz, who is 13/29 in his last eight games with four homers.