Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 9/7/24

At 4:10 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Astros face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and has the Astros as the heavy favorite on the money line (-165). Arizona is +141, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Arizona comes in with a record of 79-63 and is 3rd in the NL West, while the Astros are 1st in the AL West with a record of 76-65. Eduardo Rodriguez will start for the Diamondbacks, and he will be facing off against Yusei Kikuchi. Houston is currently on a two-game losing streak.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -165

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, September 7th.

HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS ASTROS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

The Astros cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -166 on the money line.

Brandon Pfaadt got the start for the Diamondbacks, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up four runs and took the loss. Framber Valdez put together a good outing for the Astros, getting the win after going seven innings and not giving up a run.

Yordan Alvarez hit the game’s only two home runs while going 2/4 with six RBIs and two runs scored. Jose Altuve also had a three-hit game for the Astros, scoring twice and driving in a run.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 79-63 overall this season, and they are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Astros 0-1. So far, they have gone 25-18 in divisional games.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 39-31 and have gone 40-32 on the road. Arizona has dropped five straight games as the underdog, and they are 34-37 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 45-26 this year, and their overall series record is 25-16-4.

Arizona has been a solid play on the run line overall this season, as they are 74-68. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, where they are 42-30. They have been a better play on the run line as an underdog, going 44-27, compared to 30-41 as a favorite. Their average run margin for the season is +0.6 runs per game.

Arizona Diamondbacks games have had an average of 10.2 runs scored this season, and their over/under record is 81-54. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, the over has hit in 10 games, the under in 5, and there have been 2 pushes. Overall, 70.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Getting the start for the Diamondbacks today is Eduardo Rodriguez, who will be on the road against the Astros. Rodriguez has a 1-0 record through his first three starts of the season. He is coming off a start in which he took a loss vs. the Dodgers, but he did strike out 7 batters in just 4 innings of work.

Arizona comes into the game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s top on-base percentage team and have the league’s 2nd best team batting average. As a team, they are also 4th in walks, 6th in home runs, and have the league’s 4th best slugging percentage.

Ketel Marte has been the team’s top power threat, as his 30 homers are the best mark on the team and 12th best in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 81 RBIs and is batting .296 for the season. Eugenio Suarez has also been a big run producer for the Diamondbacks, as his 87 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 12th best in the MLB. Suarez has also gone 6/17 with two homers over his last five games.

Astros Records & Stats

The Astros are 76-65 overall this season, and they lead the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners. So far, they have gone 21-18 in divisional matchups. Houston is currently on a five-game winning streak at home, and they are 40-29 at home this year.

As the favorite, the Astros have gone 58-46 this year and 37-24 as the favorite at home. They are also right at .500 (36-36) on the road this year. This season, the Astros’ overall series record is 24-19-2.

When betting the run line on the Astros at home, it’s been a losing proposition this season as they are 33-36. However, they have covered the run line in three straight games at home. Overall, Houston is 72-69 vs. the run line this season. When they win, they win big, as their average run margin in victories is 3.8 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line for the Houston Astros’ game against the Arizona Diamondbacks is set at 8 runs. The Astros have played 85 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which represents 60.3% of their games. Their combined run average this season is 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 56-80. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-13-2.

Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Astros today and is facing the Diamondbacks at home. So far this season, he has made 28 starts and has a record of 7-9 with an ERA of 4.24. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is 1.25, and he has turned in nine quality starts. In his last outing, Kikuchi picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run on five hits. Looking back further, he has given up just one earned run in three of his last four outings. Per nine innings, Kikuchi is averaging 10.57 strikeouts.

Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ best hitter so far this season, as he is batting .310 and leads the team with 32 home runs and 79 RBIs. Over his last five games, Alvarez has four homers and eight RBIs while going 5/19. Alex Bregman is also having a good season power-wise, as he is 2nd on the team with 21 homers.

As a team, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are 3rd in the league with a batting average of .260. They are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Overall, their on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all among the league’s best.