Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 9/2/24
Monday’s forecast in New York calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 80s. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:10 PM ET. SNY is carrying this game on TV.
The Mets are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -127 compared to the Red Sox at +107. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and Boston will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak. Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox, and he is facing off against Luis Severino. The Mets are 73-64, while the Red Sox are 70-67. This game is an interleague matchup.
BOSTON RED SOX VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline +107
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Monday, September 2nd.
HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS METS:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston closed out their series vs. the Tigers with a 4-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the slight favorite at -108 on the money line. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 5th inning but couldn’t hold the lead. The Tigers scored two runs in the bottom of the 5th to take the lead and added another two runs in the 6th to put things out of reach. Boston’s offense scored their only run on a single by Romy Gonzalez, who went 2/3.
Cooper Criswell got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up three earned runs. Rich Hill came out of the bullpen and took the loss. He only pitched 1/3 of an inning, but the Tigers scored a run in that span.
Boston is on the road today to take on the Mets, and they are nine games out of the AL East lead. Overall, the Red Sox are 70-67, and they are 18-18 in divisional games. The Red Sox have dropped two straight games, and they are just 3-7 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Red Sox are 31-38 this year compared to 39-29 on the road. As the road underdog, the Red Sox are 24-24 this year, and they have lost two straight as the underdog. Their overall series record is 21-17-6, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Tigers.
The Red Sox are 40-28 vs. the run line on the road this season, and their average run margin in those games is +0.8. They are 24-45 vs. the run line at home, with an average run margin of -0.7. Overall, they are 64-73 vs. the run line, with an average run margin of +0.1. They are 24-44 vs. the run line as the favorite and 40-29 vs. the run line as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9, and their average run margin in losing games is -4.0.
Despite the Boston Red Sox having an over/under record of 70-60 on the season, the over has hit in 12 of their 22 games when the over/under line has been set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and the over/under line has been set at 8 runs in 20 of their 115 games this season. Their games have gone under the total in two straight games.
Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 4.66. Bello’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. In his last outing, Bello was excellent, going eight innings and picking up the win. He didn’t give up a run in the outing and finished with nine strikeouts. Looking back over his last four outings, Bello has allowed just one earned run in three of them. His ERA at home is 6.15 compared to 4.68 on the road.
The Red Sox offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th) and batting a collective .256, which is the 5th best mark in the league. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the top team BABIP in the MLB. One of the reasons for their strong offensive numbers is that they are the 4th hardest team to strike out in the league.
Jarren Duran has been red hot for the Red Sox, going 12/38 in his last 10 games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .295 and is 3rd on the team with 21 homers. Rafael Devers has been the team’s top power threat, as his 28 homers are the best on the team and 9th best in the league. He also comes into the game with a team-high 80 RBIs.
Mets Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the White Sox, the Mets closed out the series with a 2-0 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the heavy favorite at -182. Offensively, the Mets only scored two runs but did so on seven hits. Francisco Lindor had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Mets also had three other players with two hits.
Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five. The Mets’s bullpen closed things out with Edwin Diaz picking up the save.
The Mets are hosting the Red Sox today with an overall record of 73-64, which has them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by eight games for the NL East lead. New York is on a four-game winning streak, and they went 3-0 in their most recent series vs. the White Sox.
At home, the Mets are 35-33 this season and 38-31 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets have gone 46-35 and 27-29 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 23-16-8, and they have won two straight series overall and two straight series on the road.
The Mets have a run line record of 67-70 this season, including a 28-40 mark at home. They have a run line record of 39-30 on the road, and they have covered the run line in three straight games. As the favorite, they are 34-47 against the run line, and as the underdog, they are 33-23.
The Mets have played 77 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which is 56.2% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 68-65, and their average combined run total in games this season is 9.2 runs. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 14-6. The under has hit in each of their last four games.
New York is sending Luis Severino to the mound today vs. the Red Sox, and he comes into the game with a record of 9-6 and an ERA of 3.96. So far this year, he has made 26 starts, and opponents are batting .233 off the right-hander. Severino’s last outing came against the Diamondbacks, and he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those was a complete-game shutout. So far this year, he has one complete game and one shutout.
Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/43 in his last 10 games, including four home runs. This has helped him move into the 2nd spot in the Mets lineup in terms of home runs, and he is also 1st on the team in RBIs (80). Overall, he is batting .269 for the season. Pete Alonso is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 30 long balls is 7th in the MLB. He is 2nd on the team in RBIs (76) and is batting .241 for the season.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game and are 5th in the league in home runs. They are also among the league leaders in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Overall, they are 9th in the league in OPS at .739.