San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 8/30/24
Friday’s interleague matchup between the Padres and Rays has a first pitch set for 6:50 PM ET from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg. The Padres are 76-60 and their money line odds are at +108, while the Rays are 66-67 and they are favored at -133. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
San Diego will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak, and they are 3rd in the NL West. Tampa Bay is 4th in the AL East, and APLTV will be televising this one.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline +108
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 6:50 ET on Friday, August 30th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS RAYS:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Padres Records & Stats
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 4-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 3rd inning before the Cardinals scored two runs in the bottom of the 3rd. San Diego was the -106 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Michael King got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs. The Padres’s offense scored their only run in thejson 5th, and it was Jackson Merrill’s first career home run.
San Diego is on the road today to take on the Rays, having dropped two straight games, and they are 76-60 this season. The Padres are 3rd in the NL West, five games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 20-20 in divisional games.
At home, the Padres are 37-32 this season, and they are 39-28 on the road. As the favorite, San Diego is 48-37 and 28-23 as the underdog. The Padres have an overall series record of 26-14-5 this year.
San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 70-66 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 43-24 ATS. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 35-16 ATS, compared to 35-50 ATS as the favorite. The Padres have a positive run differential on the road this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 1.1 runs per game.
The Padres have played in 21 games this season with an over/under line set at 7.5, and their record in those games is 21-23. Their games have had an average combined run total of 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the season is 73-62. The over/under line for today’s game against the Rays is set at 7.5 runs.
Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Rays on the road. So far this season, he has made 21 starts and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 4.60. Looking at his overall numbers, Pérez has a WHIP of 1.51 and has issued 3.2 walks per nine innings compared to 7.14 strikeouts. The left-hander has made seven quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a run. In that start, he went 3 2/3 innings and gave up just one hit. Pérez has not lost since July 31st.
San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top batting average team, hitting a combined .265. They are also the top team in the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado have been the Padres’ top power threats this season, with Profar’s 21 homers being the 2nd most in the league and Machado’s 22 homers leading the Padres. Machado is also 15th in the league with 79 RBIs. Over his last five games, Machado has gone 7/20 with two homers. Luis Arraez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 8/20 in his last five games and is batting .307 for the season.
Rays Records & Stats
The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mariners with a 6-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 2nd inning before the Mariners scored four runs in the bottom of the 2nd. Tampa Bay was the +134 underdog on the road going into this game.
Drew Rasmussen got the start for the Rays and took the loss. He only lasted two innings, giving up four earned runs. Offensively, the Rays only had two fewer hits than the Mariners but scored just two runs. Josh Lowe had a solo home run in the 2nd inning and finished the game 1/4.
Tampa Bay is 66-67 overall and 11.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, they have gone just 17-23 in AL East matchups. The Rays are at home today, hosting the Padres, and they are 34-34 at home this year.
As the underdog, the Rays are 33-38 this year compared to 33-29 as the favorite. They have won three straight games at home, and their overall series record is 21-17-5. Tampa Bay’s two most recent series have ended in losses, dropping their record to 4-6 over their last 10 games.
When it comes to the run line, the Rays have been a much better bet on the road this season, where they are 37-28 compared to just 29-39 at home. Overall, they are 66-67 vs. the run line, with an average scoring margin of -0.5 runs per game. They have covered the run line in five straight games at home, but overall, they are just 23-39 vs. the run line as the favorite compared to 43-28 as the underdog. Their average run margin in wins is +2.7 runs per game, while it is -3.6 runs per game in losses.
The Tampa Bay Rays are playing at home tonight against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 8.1 runs per game. The Rays have an over/under record of 59-68 on the season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs this season, the Rays have a record of 21-25 in those games. Overall, 57.9% of the Rays’ games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today and comes in with a record of 6-8 and an ERA of 3.77. Looking back at his last outing, Bradley finished with a no-decision against the Dodgers, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Bradley has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 9.98 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 17 homers and is averaging 3.02 walks per nine innings. At home, Bradley is 3-5 with a 3.11 ERA.
So far this season, the Rays are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .230 and have the 26th ranked home run total in the league.
Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ best hitter this season, batting .273 with 11 homers and 57 RBIs. Christopher Morel has struggled this season, batting just .194, but he does lead the team with 21 homers. Morel is also 2nd on the team in RBIs. Jose Siri has 17 homers this season but is batting just .197. Josh Lowe is on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .333 over his last five games.