Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 8/21/24
Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Reds and Blue Jays is set for 7:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. The Reds are the slight money line favorite, with their line sitting at -112 compared to the Blue Jays at -106. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
Cincinnati comes in with a record of 61-65, while the Blue Jays are 59-67 overall. Nick Martinez will start for the Reds, and the Blue Jays are sending Yariel Rodriguez to the mound.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -106
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Wednesday, August 21st.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Toronto cruised to a 10-3 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three runs, and added three more in the 5th. As for the Reds, they scored their only three runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were favored at -126.
The Blue Jays got to Reds starter Carson Spiers, who gave up nine earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work and took the loss. As for the Blue Jays, they got a good outing from Jose Berrios, who gave up just two earned runs across seven innings of work and got the win.
At the plate, the Blue Jays were led by George Springer and Leo Jimenez, who each had two hits and combined for three RBIs. Alejandro Kirk also had a two-hit game and drove in a run. For the Reds, Noelvi Marte went 2/4 with an RBI.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 61-65 overall this season, and they are 4th in the NL Central, 12.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Reds trail the Cardinals by a half-game for 3rd place in the division and are 18-17 in the division this year. The Reds will be on the road today, where they are 30-31 this year.
The Reds were able to snap a three-game losing streak in games where they were favored in the series opener vs. the Blue Jays. However, they dropped the most recent game, so they are 15-22-3 in series this year. Cincinnati has an overall record of 31-29 as the favorite and 30-36 as the underdog. So far, they have been good as the road favorite, going 11-5 this year.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 67-59 overall. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 38-23. Their average run margin on the road is +0.7 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Reds have an over/under record of 58-63 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs, but when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit at a 15-11 clip. Overall, 49.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.
Right-hander Nick Martinez gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 34 appearances this season, including eight starts, and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.25 ERA. Martinez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had a streak of three straight scoreless outings. Martinez has been much better on the road this season, coming in with a record of 3-2 and 2.31 ERA compared to 3-4 with a 3.70 ERA at home.
Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ top home run hitter, and he is also 3rd on the team in RBIs. De La Cruz has a batting average of .258 and has gone deep 21 times this season. Spencer Steer has also been a big power threat for the Reds, as he has 18 homers but has struggled with his batting average, hitting just .234.
Jeimer Candelario is 2nd on the Reds in homers but has a batting average of just .225, and his on-base percentage of .279 is the worst among the team’s regular starters. Over his last eight games, TJ Friedl has gone 9/28 with three homers.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
With a record of 59-67, the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East, 14.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far this season, they are just 17-24 in AL East matchups. Toronto is looking to bounce back after dropping their most recent game vs. the Reds.
At home, the Blue Jays are 30-32 this season, compared to a mark of 29-35 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 37-27 and 22-40 as the underdog. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 14-20-6, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Reds.
The Blue Jays have an even run line record on the season at 63-63, but they have been a much better bet on the road, where they are 41-23. Their average run margin is -0.6 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of -0.9 runs per game at home. They have been a run line underdog in 62 games, going 35-27 in those contests.
When the Toronto Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season. Overall, the Blue Jays have a 68-55 over/under record, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their games have gone over the total 21 times and under 19 times. This season, 22 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 17.5% of their games. Their games have had over/under lines set below 8.5 runs in 64 games, or 50.8% of the time. Currently, the Blue Jays are on a two-game over streak.
Toronto is sending Yariel Rodríguez to the mound today vs. the Reds. The right-hander has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 1-5 with a 3.93 ERA. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 9.33 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Rodríguez finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Cubs. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .211 vs. Rodríguez this season.
Over his last eight games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 10/33 with three home runs. For the season, he is batting .318 with 26 homers and 81 RBIs, which both lead the team and are among the best marks in the league. George Springer is also one of the league’s top power hitters, but he is batting just .222 this season.
As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game and are 22nd in the league in home runs. Overall, they have been a below-average offense this season, and they have been even worse at home, averaging just 4.1 runs per game. Toronto comes into the game with the 12th best on-base percentage in the league.