Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 8/19/24
At 9:40 PM ET, the Twins and Padres square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are favored on the money line (-159). The money line odds for a Twins win are sitting at +134, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Monday’s forecast in San Diego calls for clear skies and temperatures in the upper 70s. Zebby Matthews is starting for the Twins, and he is facing off against Michael King. Both teams have a record of 70-54, and the Padres are 2nd in the NL West, while the Twins are 2nd in the AL Central. FS1 is carrying this game on TV.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -159
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Monday, August 19th.
HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Twins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Twins Records & Stats
The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rangers scored a run in the bottom of the 9th to pick up the win. Minnesota was the -108 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Pablo Lopez put together a good start for the Twins, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out three. However, the Twins’ bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Jhoan Duran took the loss out of the bullpen. Ryan Jeffers had a big game at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Minnesota is 70-54 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL Central. Currently, they trail the Guardians by two games for the division lead. The Twins are 28-17 against other teams in the AL Central. They are starting this one on the road, where they are 34-30 this year.
As the favorite, the Twins have gone 55-31 this year, and they are 15-23 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 24-13-3, and they have won two straight series. Their most recent series win came against the Rangers, taking the series 3-1.
The Twins are 35-29 against the run line on the road this season, and they’ve covered in three straight games. They’ve been a better bet at home, going 27-33 against the run line. Minnesota’s average run margin is 0.6 runs per game, with a scoring margin of 0.2 runs per game on the road and 0.9 at home. When they win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, while their losses come by an average of 3.5 runs per game. They’ve been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 21-17, compared to 41-45 as the favorite.
When the Twins are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs today against the Padres. This season, the Twins have played 78 games with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, which is 62.9% of their games. Their combined run average is 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 63-57 overall and 19-14 when the line is set at 7.5 runs.
Zebby Matthews is on the mound for the Twins as they take on the Padres on the road. Matthews started the season with a win at home against the Royals, going 5 innings and giving up 2 earned runs. He finished with 5 strikeouts and did give up a home run.
Carlos Santana has been the Twins’ top power threat this season, as he is 2nd on the team with 18 homers and is also 2nd on the team with 55 RBIs. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .182 over his last seven games. Ryan Jeffers has gone deep 19 times this season, which is the most on the team, and his 57 RBIs are also the best mark on the team. Jeffers is also batting just .231 for the year.
As a team, the Twins are 7th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they also have a collective batting average of .252, which is 7th in the MLB.
Padres Records & Stats
A late homer from the Rockies was the difference in their 3-2 win over the Padres to close out their series. San Diego was the heavy favorite at -198 going into the game. The Padres scored a run to take the lead in the 4th inning but couldn Rockies tied things up in the 6th with a homer from Sam Hilliard. Colorado’s Bryan Hoeing got the loss out of the bullpen, and the Padres also wasted a good start from Joe Musgrove.
Musgrove only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up just one run while striking out six. However, the Padres bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and San Diego took the loss. Manny Machado had a big game at the plate, going 1/4 with a homer and scoring both of the Padres’ runs.
With a record of 70-55, the Padres are three games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. San Diego is 20-20 in divisional games and have won five straight games at home. Their overall series record is 25-14-3, and they are 7-3 across their last 10 games.
San Diego’s series loss to the Rockies dropped them to 25-14-3 in series play this year. As the favorite, the Padres are 44-33 and 26-22 as the underdog. They have been slightly better on the road, going 37-26 compared to 33-29 at home.
San Diego has a run line record of 24-38 at home this season, with an average run margin of -0.1 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 65-60, with an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game. They have been a strong bet on the run line on the road, going 41-22, with an average run margin of 1.2 runs per game. The Padres have covered the run line in two straight games at home, and their run line record as an underdog is 33-15.
San Diego Padres games have had an average of 9.0 runs scored per game this season, and their over/under record is 66-58. The average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs, but when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 19-21. Overall, 75 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 60.0% of their games this season.
Michael King gets the start for the Padres today and comes in with a record of 10-6 and an ERA of 3.19. So far this year, he has made 23 starts, and opponents are batting .218. King has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 10.71 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, King was dominant, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished with 10 strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. King has won each of his last three outings.
San Diego comes into the game with the league’s best team batting average at .266 and are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. The Padres have been very good at putting the ball in play this season, as they have the league’s fewest strikeouts.
Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, with 19 homers, which is the best mark on the team. He also leads the team with 73 RBIs and has a strong on-base percentage of .389. Profar is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Luis Arraez has been a strong contact hitter for the Padres, batting .305 for the season.