Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 8/19/24
First pitch for Monday’s Orioles vs. Mets interleague matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY. The Mets are the betting favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -128 compared to the Orioles at +108. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on MLBN.
Baltimore comes in with a record of 73-52 and they are 1st in the AL East, while the Mets are 3rd in the NL East with an overall record of 64-60. David Peterson will be on the mound for the Mets, and the Orioles are starting Trevor Rogers.
NEW YORK METS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -128
This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Monday, August 19th.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS METS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Orioles to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Orioles Records & Stats
The Orioles’s offense was carried by Gunnar Henderson in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox. He went only 1/4, but that one hit was a home run, and he drove in two runs. The Orioles also scored another two runs in the 6th inning to pick up a 4-2 win. Albert Suarez put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out six Red Sox batters.
Baltimore’s bullpen closed things out, and the Orioles picked up the win as the slight favorite at -125. Seranthony Dominguez got the save, and the Orioles’s offense scored their other two runs. Adley Rutschman went 1/3 with a homer.
Baltimore heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Mets with an overall record of 73-52, which has them tied with the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Orioles and Yankees are both 28-15 in divisional play. The Orioles have been playing well of late, going 5-5 over their last 10 and splitting their most recent series with the Red Sox.
At home, the Orioles are 37-28 this season, and they have gone 36-24 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 61-41, and they are 12-11 as the underdog this year. One trend to note is that the Orioles have dropped four straight as the underdog.
When the Orioles are on the road, it’s been profitable to take them on the run line, as they are 36-24 on the run line away from Camden Yards. Their average run margin on the road is +1.0, and they have covered the run line in three straight road games. They are 52-50 on the run line as the favorite and 16-7 as the underdog.
The Orioles are on the road against the Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 68-47. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Orioles are 20-15, and 31.2% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs. Their games have gone under the line in their last two games.
Left-hander Trevor Rogers gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Mets on the road. This year, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 2-11 with a 4.89 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Rogers has a WHIP of 1.57 and has issued 3.99 walks per nine innings compared to 6.92 strikeouts. Rogers has turned in just three quality starts this year and has an ERA of 5.99 on the road compared to 5.5 at home. In his last outing, he gave up five earned runs in five innings of work.
Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs, but they are also one of the top-scoring teams in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. Baltimore has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in batting average and have the league’s top slugging percentage.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the team’s top home run hitters this season, with 36 and 33 homers, respectively. Henderson has been especially hot of late, batting .324 over his last nine games with four home runs.
Mets Records & Stats
New York is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 3-2 loss to the Marlins, Paul Blackburn was excellent on the mound, allowing just one run while pitching six innings. They also got a big offensive performance from Brandon Nimmo, going 1/3 with a homer.
Reed Garrett took the loss out of the bullpen for the Mets, as New York allowed two runs in the top of the 9th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Mets were at -195 on the money line.
The Mets are 64-60 overall this season, and they are nine games behind the Phillies in the NL East. New York’s record is 22-17 in divisional games. They are at home today, hosting the Orioles, and they are 33-32 at home this year.
So far, the Mets have gone 31-28 on the road. New York won the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins. Overall, the Mets have a series record of 20-16-7. As the favorite, the Mets are 41-34 this year and 26-21 as the home favorite. They have struggled a bit more as the underdog, coming in with a mark of 23-26. Looking at their recent performance, the Mets are just 4-6 over their last 10 games.
The Mets have been a solid run line team this season, going 59-65 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 31-28 against the run line. Their average run differential for the season is +0.2 runs per game, and they have been a better bet as an underdog, going 28-21 against the run line in those games.
The Mets are at home today against the Orioles, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Mets and their opponents have combined to average 9.3 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games this season is 63-57. The average over/under line for Mets games this season has been 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record for Mets games is 23-15. So far this season, 31 of the Mets’ games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 25.0% of their games. The under has hit in the Mets’ last two games.
Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Orioles at home. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 7-1 with a 3.04 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .238 this season. Peterson has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run on four hits. Peterson has won each of his last two outings. At home, his ERA is 3.35 compared to 3.01 on the road.
Francisco Lindor has been red hot for the Mets, going 14/38 in his last nine games, including two home runs. He is also on a 12-game hitting streak. For the season, Lindor is batting .264 with 24 homers and 72 RBIs. Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 27 homers but is batting just .243 and has gone 7/34 in his last nine games.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 8th ranked scoring offense in the league. New York comes into the game with the league’s 8th best on-base percentage and 8th best OPS.