Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 8/17/24
There does appear to be a chance of rain in Baltimore on Saturday, where the Red Sox and Orioles face off. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-124).
First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 7:05 PM ET, and MASN will be televising this AL East matchup. Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox, and the Orioles are going with Cade Povich. Boston is 3rd in the AL East, while the Orioles are 2nd.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -124
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 7:05 ET on Saturday, August 17th.
HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS ORIOLES:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Boston rallied for three runs in the 7th and another three in the 9th in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs Orioles series. The Red Sox went into the matchup as +152 underdogs and picked up a 12-10 win.
Both teams scored two runs in the 1st inning, and the Orioles had a slight 10-9 edge in hits. Heading into the game, the Red Sox had the better offense, averaging 5.3 runs per game compared to 4.2 for the Orioles.
Rafael Devers, David Hamilton, and Connor Wong each had two hits and two RBIs for the Red Sox. For the Orioles, Ramon Urias went 3/3 with a home run and five RBIs.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston is 64-57 overall and trails the Yankees by eight games in the AL East. So far, they are 15-14 in divisional games and are currently 3rd in the AL East. The Red Sox are on the road today, facing the Orioles and are 35-25 on the road.
The Red Sox have won two straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 20-13-5 this year. As the road underdog, the Red Sox are 21-20 this year, and they are 34-25 as the favorite overall. Coming into today’s game, they are 4-6 in their last 10 games, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Orioles.
When betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s been a much better proposition to take them on the road this season. Boston is 34-26 vs. the run line away from Fenway Park, compared to 22-39 at home. The Red Sox have been a better run line play as the underdog, going 35-27 vs. the run line in those games. Their average run differential in games they’ve won is +4.0, compared to -4.1 in losses.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for this game is set at 9 runs. The Red Sox have a combined run average of 9.8 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 64-50, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 8-4-3. So far this season, 32 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, accounting for 26.4% of their games.
Right-hander Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles on the road. Bello has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 10-5 with an ERA of 4.97. He has made eight quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Bello has not taken a loss since July 20th. He has a 6.5 ERA at home compared to 4.97 on the road.
As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, the Red Sox are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, and they also have the league’s best team BABIP. As a team, they are batting .262, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB.
Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power threat this season, as his 26 homers are 11th in the league. He is also 13th in the league with 75 RBIs. Devers is batting .298 for the season. Jarren Duran has also been a key run producer for the Red Sox, as his 59 RBIs are 2nd on the team, and he is batting .291.
Orioles Records & Stats
Baltimore is 72-51 overall and trails the Yankees by just one game for the AL East lead. The Orioles are 27-14 in the division and have gone 5-5 across their last 10 games. At home, the Orioles are 36-27 this year and 36-24 on the road.
So far, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, going 60-40, and they are 33-24 when favored at home. Baltimore’s overall series record is 22-11-5, and they are tied in their current series vs. the Red Sox. The Red Sox are 8.0 games behind the Yankees and are 62-60 overall.
When the Orioles win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, and they are 67-56 against the run line this season. They are 31-32 vs. the run line at home, where they have a run differential of +0.5 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 16-7 vs. the run line, and they are 36-24 vs. the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of +1.0 runs per game.
The Orioles have played to a 68-45 over/under record this season, with their games averaging 9.4 runs per game. When the O/U line is set at 9, they have a 15-13-3 record. So far this season, only 4.9% of their games have had O/U lines set at 9 runs.
Cade Povich gets the start for the Orioles today and is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Blue Jays. In that start, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up six runs (three earned) and taking the loss. Povich has finished on the losing end of things in each of his last three outings. Overall, he is 1-5 with a 6.27 ERA and has a WHIP of 1.69. Opposing batters are hitting .268 off Povich this season. The only home run he allowed in that last outing came in the first inning. Per nine innings, Povich has 5.54 walks compared to 6.03 strikeouts.
For the season, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 3rd in runs scored, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .257, which is the 5th best mark in the league. They also have the best slugging percentage in the league and are 2nd in OPS. Baltimore is averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road and 4.9 runs per game at home.
Anthony Santander has been a big power threat for the Orioles this season, as his 36 homers are the best mark on the team and 3rd best in the league. However, he is batting just .242 for the season and has gone just 4/19 in his last five games. Gunnar Henderson has been swinging the bat well of late, going 6/20 in his last five games with two homers and five RBIs.