Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 8/16/24
From Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have the White Sox and Astros facing off in an American League matchup. The Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -192, while the White Sox are at +162. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 8:10 PM ET, and NBCS will be televising the game. Chicago is currently on a two-game losing streak and is 29-93 overall, while the Astros are 65-55 and have won eight straight. Houston leads the AL West, while the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central.
CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8 Runs
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Friday, August 16th.
HOW TO BET THE WHITE SOX VS ASTROS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the White Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
White Sox Records & Stats
The White Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 10-2 loss. Chicago was the +201 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the White Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Yankees scored three times in the top of the first.
Chicago started Davis Martin, and he took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. However, the White Sox’s offense was only able to score two runs, and both of those came in the 2nd inning. Gavin Sheets had a big game, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Chicago is 29-93 overall, putting them 5th in the AL Central, 43.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The White Sox have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-34 in divisional games. So far, they have dropped two straight games, and they are just 2-8 over their last 10 games.
At home, the White Sox are just 18-44 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road at 11-49. So far, they have really struggled in day games, going 10-40 this year.
The White Sox have been a good run line bet on the road this season, going 25-35. Their average run margin on the road is -2.5, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. However, they have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 47-67 against the run line.
The Chicago White Sox are currently on the road facing the Houston Astros in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs. The White Sox have a combined run average of 8.3 this season and their over/under record is 55-62. Their average over/under line for the season is also 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 10-10-2. So far this season, 60 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, which accounts for 49.2% of their games. Meanwhile, 40 of their games have had over/under lines set below 8 runs, which accounts for 32.8% of their games.
Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Astros on the road. Crochet has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 6-9 with a 3.65 ERA. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 12.46 strikeouts per nine innings. Crochet’s last outing was a rough one, as he gave up seven earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. He took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
For the season, the White Sox are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. Not only are they struggling to put runs on the board, but they have the league’s worst on-base percentage and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .220 and have the 25th ranked home run total in the league.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are the White Sox’s top home run hitters this season, but they are batting just .241 and .214, respectively. However, Benintendi has been hot of late, hitting five home runs over his last nine games while batting .316.
Astros Records & Stats
The Astros’s offense was carried by Jeremy Pena in their most recent game vs. the Rays. Pena went only 1/4, but his lone hit was a home run, and the Astros won the game 2-1. Houston was the slight favorite at -125 on the money line going into the game.
Ronel Blanco got the start for the Astros, going six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Houston comes into today’s game vs. the White Sox having won eight straight games, and they lead the AL West by three games over the Mariners. The Astros’ overall record is 65-55, and they are 21-18 against other teams in the AL West. Houston’s eight-game winning streak comes after taking the final game of their series vs. the Twins.
At home, the Astros are 32-26 this season and have gone 33-29 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 49-39 this year and 16-16 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Astros are 22-16-1 and have won three straight series overall and three straight on the road.
Despite being at home, the Astros have struggled to cover the run line this season, going just 27-31. They have been favored in the majority of their games, but have a losing record against the run line when they are the favorite, going 40-48. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while it is -3.2 in losing games.
With an over/under line of 8 runs, the Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox are expected to score fewer runs than the combined average of 8.7 runs per game. The Astros have played 75 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 62.5% of their games. However, they have hit the under in three straight games and have an over/under record of 47-69 on the season.
Houston is starting right-hander Spencer Arrighetti vs. the White Sox today. He has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 5-10 with a 5.14 ERA. Arrighetti’s WHIP for the season is 1.45, and he is coming off a solid outing vs. the Red Sox in which he went seven innings, gave up two earned runs, and got the win. In that outing, he had 13 strikeouts. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Arrighetti has a BB/9 figure of 4.29 compared to 11.06 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are 3rd in team batting average at .260 and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. Houston has been even better at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, they are 10th in home runs, and their team on-base percentage of .320 is 10th in the league. One area where the Astros have struggled is in drawing walks, as they are 25th in the league in that category.
Yordan Alvarez has been a big power threat for the Astros this season, as his 25 home runs are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team in RBIs, with 64. Alex Bregman and Kyle Tucker are also near the top of the Astros’ home run leaderboard, with 19 homers apiece. Bregman has been especially hot of late, going 15/36 in his last eight games with four homers.