Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/16/24
The Nationals and Phillies are set to face off in an NL East matchup at 6:40 PM ET on Friday. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Nationals are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. They are 55-67 overall and Patrick Corbin on the mound. The Phillies are 71-50 and Aaron Nola.
Philadelphia is the heavy favorite on the money line (-272), while the Nationals are sitting at +223. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and MASN will be televising this one.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 9 Runs
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Friday, August 16th.
HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Phillies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Philadelphia cruised to an easy 13-3 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their thirteen runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -271 on the money line.
Zack Wheeler started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued zero walks. Mitchell Parker got the start for the Nationals and took the loss, giving up nine earned runs in just three innings of work.
At the plate, the Phillies were led by Weston Wilson, who went 4/5 with a home run. He scored three times and drove in three runs. Trea Turner had three hits for the Nationals, but it came in a losing effort.
Nationals Records & Stats
With an overall record of 55-67, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 16.5 games. The Nationals have dropped two straight games, and they are 16-16 against other teams in the NL East. Washington lost the series opener vs. the Phillies.
At home, the Nationals are 28-32 this season, and they are just under .500 at 27-35 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 45-57 this year, and they are an even 10-10 when favored. Washington’s overall series record is 16-19-3, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Washington is 68-54 against the run line this season, but the Nationals have dropped two straight run line decisions on the road. They are 36-26 against the run line on the road, but are just 9-11 against the run line as the favorite. Washington’s average run differential in winning games is +3.4, but that number drops to -3.8 in losses.
The Washington Nationals are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Nationals have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 62-55. The average over/under line for their games this season is also 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 13-13-3. So far this season, 20 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, which accounts for 16.4% of their games. The majority of their games, 73 to be exact, have had over/under lines set lower than 9 runs, which is 59.8% of their games.
Washington is sending left-hander Patrick Corbin to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 2-12 with a 5.98 ERA. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is 1.56, and he has allowed a total of 19 home runs. Looking back at his last outing, Corbin finished with a no-decision vs. the Angels, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Corbin’s ERA for the season is 7.69 on the road compared to 5.39 at home.
Washington’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 17th in the league. They are also just 26th in the league in home runs and have the worst team slugging percentage in the league. However, they are batting a collective .244, which is 11th in the league. The Nationals have been good at putting the ball in play this season, as they have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league.
CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are both among the league leaders in RBIs, and Abrams is also the team’s leader in home runs. Garcia Jr. is batting .290 for the season and has gone 4/17 in his last four games. Keibert Ruiz is also on a three-game hitting streak but is just 4/17 in his last four games.
Phillies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 71-50, the Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken the first game of their series vs. the Nationals, and they lead the Nationals by 7.5 games. The Phillies have gone 17-11 against other NL East teams this year.
At home, the Phillies are 40-22 this season, and they are just over .500 at 31-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 60-38 this season and 11-12 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 19-15-6 this year.
Philadelphia is 60-61 against the run line this season, including a 30-32 mark at home. The Phillies are 2-0 against the run line in their last two games and have a run line record of 48-50 when favored this season. They have an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game this season.
The Philadelphia Phillies are playing at home against the Washington Nationals, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Phillies have had a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 57-58. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 5-11-1. Overall, 14.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Aaron Nola will be looking to bounce back from a couple of rough outings as he gets the start for the Phillies today. Most recently, he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Diamondbacks, taking the loss in the outing. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in three straight starts. Nola’s ERA for the season is 3.60, and his record is 11-6. Opponents are batting .234 off the right-hander this season. Nola has one complete game shutout this year and 15 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.43 strikeouts and 2.26 walks.
Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Overall, they are 7th in home runs and have the league’s 4th best team batting average. Alec Bohm, Bryce Harper, and Kyle Schwarber have been the team’s top power threats, with Schwarber and Harper both ranking in the top 10 in homers.
Bohm and Harper have been swinging the bat well of late, with Bohm going 7/23 in his last six games and Harper going 8/22. Schwarber has struggled over that stretch, going just 2/24. Nick Castellanos is also swinging a hot bat for the Phillies, going 6/21 in his last six games. Weston Wilson is on a four-game hitting streak and went 4/5 in his most recent game.