Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 8/15/24
Thursday’s forecast in Baltimore calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is set for 6:35 PM ET. Nick Pivetta is starting for the Red Sox, and he is facing off against Zach Eflin. The Orioles are the slight favorite on the money line (-144), and they are 2nd in the AL East with a record of 71-50. Boston is 3rd in the AL East with a record of 63-56.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and MASN will be televising Thursday’s AL matchup. The Orioles are 7-1 in their last eight games, while the Red Sox have won seven of their last ten.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -144
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 6:35 ET on Thursday, August 15th.
HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS ORIOLES:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a 9-7 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the slight favorite at -137 on the money line. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with two runs in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rangers scored three times in the top of the 2nd.
Tanner Houck put together a good start for the Red Sox, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out three. However, the Red Sox’s bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Boston took the loss. Wilyer Abreu had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Masataka Yoshida had a good day at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored.
Boston is on the road today vs. the Orioles, and they are 7.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Overall, the Red Sox are 63-56 and have gone 14-13 against other teams in the AL East. The Red Sox took the series vs. the Rangers 2-1 and are 5-5 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Red Sox are 29-32 this season, and they have gone 34-24 on the road. As the road underdog, the Red Sox have put together a mark of 20-19 this season, and their overall series record is 20-13-5. Boston has won two straight series on the road.
When the Red Sox are on the road, they have a run line record of 33-25, with an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 34-26 against the run line as the underdog.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 9.8 runs per game this season. The Red Sox have a 63-49 over/under record this year, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs per game. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the Red Sox have gone over the total 21 times and under 12 times. Their games have had an over/under line of 8.5 runs in 39.5% of their games this season.
Right-hander Nick Pivetta is starting for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 5-7 with an ERA of 4.44. Pivetta’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Pivetta’s ERA on the road is 5.18, compared to 6.22 at home. For the year, he has allowed 19 homers.
For the season, the Red Sox are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .261, which is 2nd in the MLB, and are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. The Red Sox have been very good at putting the ball in play this season, as they have the league’s best BABIP.
Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power threat this season, as his 25 homers are 1st on the team and 11th in the league. He also leads the team with 72 RBIs. Jarren Duran is 2nd on the team in RBIs and is batting .290 for the season. Over his last eight games, Masataka Yoshida is hitting .333 with two homers.
Orioles Records & Stats
The Orioles’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Nationals, closing out their series with a 4-1 win. After allowing one run to the Nationals in the top of the first, the Orioles responded with two runs of their own. Baltimore went on to add another two runs in the 7th inning.
Dean Kremer put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Baltimore’s bullpen closed things out with Seranthony Dominguez picking up the save.
Baltimore is 71-50 overall and trails the Yankees by just a half-game in the AL East. So far, they have gone 26-13 against other teams in the division. The Orioles will host the Red Sox today with an overall home record of 35-26, and they are 36-24 on the road.
So far, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, going 59-39, and they are 12-11 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 22-11-5, and they split their most recent series vs. the Nationals. Heading into today’s game, they are 6-4 over their last 10.
When the Orioles win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is 3.8 runs per game. They have a run line record of 66-55 on the season, and have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 36-24. They have a run line record of 30-31 at home, where they have a run differential of 0.5 runs per game.
The Baltimore Orioles are playing at home against the Boston Red Sox today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Orioles and their opponents have combined for an average of 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 67-44. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 19-14. Overall, 30.6% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Zach Eflin is coming off a strong outing for the Orioles, as he didn’t allow a run in seven innings of work vs. the Rays on August 9th. He gave up just four hits in that outing and issued one walk. Eflin has won each of his last three starts and has a record of 8-7 this season with a 3.83 ERA. Opponents are batting .257 off Eflin this season. The right-hander has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 7.24 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has given up 16 homers.
For the season, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the MLB. Overall, they are batting .256, which is the 4th best mark in the league. Baltimore is also at the top of the league in slugging percentage and isolated power.
Anthony Santander has struggled a bit over his last 10 games, batting just .195 with four home runs. However, he has gone deep 36 times this season, which is 3rd in the league. Gunnar Henderson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/41 in his last 10 games. This has helped him move his season-long batting average to .288.