Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 8/12/24
There is a seven-game losing streak on the line for the Pirates, as they are +136 on the money line compared to the Padres at -162. The over/under line is currently 8 runs, and the game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego, with the forecasted temperature being 78 degrees and clear skies.
First pitch for this NL matchup is set for 9:40 PM ET. Joe Musgrove is the Padres’ starter, and the Pirates are starting Marco Gonzales. In the NL Central, the Pirates are in 5th place, while the Padres are 3rd in the NL West.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -162
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 9:40 ET on Monday, August 12th.
HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Pirates Records & Stats
The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Dodgers scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Pittsburgh was the +221 underdog going into this road game.
Andrew McCutchen had a big game at the plate, going 2/5 with two homers and four RBIs. The Pirates also had three other players with two hits. Bailey Falter got the start for the Pirates and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up four earned runs.
Pittsburgh is on the road today to take on the Padres, having lost seven straight games, and they are 56-61 overall. The Pirates are 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 11 games. So far, they are 17-15 in divisional games.
At home, the Pirates are 27-31 this season, and they are just above .500 at 29-30 on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates are 32-40 this year, and they are 24-21 when favored. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 16-17-5, and they have dropped three straight series.
The Pirates have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 66-51 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 36-23 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 49-23 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential is -0.2 runs per game.
The Pirates are on the road against the Padres today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Pittsburgh’s games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 56-60. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Pirates are 11-14. So far this season, 51.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 or higher.
Left-hander Marco Gonzales gets the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 4.54. Gonzales’ WHIP for the season is 1.60, and opponents are batting .309 off him this year. In his 33 2/3 innings of work, he has allowed five home runs. Gonzales is coming off a rough outing where he gave up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had pitched well, giving up a combined three earned runs in his previous three outings.
Over his last eight games, Bryan Reynolds has gone 10/33, and he is also on a five-game hitting streak. Reynolds has been the Pirates’ top run producer this season, with 69 RBIs, and his 19 homers are the best on the team and 13th in the league. Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz have also been solid power threats for the Pirates, as they are tied for 2nd on the team with 18 homers.
As a team, the Pirates are 21st in runs scored and are batting just .235. Their team on-base percentage of .302 is also one of the worst in the league. However, they do come into the game with a few hot hitters, as Joey Bart and Bryan Reynolds are both on five-game hitting streaks, and Bart is also 9/28 in his last seven games.
Padres Records & Stats
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 7-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Marlins scored two runs in the bottom of the 7th. San Diego was the -207 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Dylan Cease had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on six hits and issuing two walks. The Padres also wasted a big game from Donovan Solano, who went 4/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
San Diego will host the Pirates with an overall record of 66-53, and they are 3.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres are 3rd in the division and have gone 19-18 in divisional games this year. San Diego has won two straight series and closed out their series vs. the Marlins with a win.
At home, the Padres are 30-29 this year and have gone 36-24 on the road. San Diego has been good as the favorite this year, putting up a mark of 40-31. As the underdog, the Padres are 26-22 this season. Looking at their overall series record, the Padres are 24-13-3 and have won seven straight series on the road.
San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, posting a 62-57 record. However, they have been much more profitable on the run line on the road, going 40-20. They have been an underdog in 48 games and have gone 33-15 on the run line in those contests.
San Diego is playing host to Pittsburgh today. The O/U line is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with the Padres’ average O/U line for the season. The over has hit in 64 of their 118 games this season, and they have gone over the line in 9 of their 20 games when the line has been set at 8 runs.
Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today and will be facing his former team, the Pirates. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 5.66. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.48. Looking at his overall numbers, Musgrove has allowed a total of 10 home runs and is averaging 8.03 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Musgrove finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.
The Padres come into today’s game as the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .266. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. San Diego has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Currently, they are 10th in scoring.
Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, with his 19 home runs ranking 13th in the league. He is also 15th in the league with 72 RBIs. Profar’s .396 on-base percentage is the best mark on the team, and he is batting .297 overall. Over his last 10 games, Jackson Merrill has gone 13/36 with four homers and 11 RBIs.