St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 8/12/24
At 6:40 PM ET, the Reds and Cardinals face off in an NL Central matchup. This one is taking place at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are favored on the money line (+110). The money line odds have the Cardinals at -130, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.
St. Louis will be starting Sonny Gray, while the Reds are sending Andrew Abbott to the mound. In the standings, the Cardinals are 2nd in the NL Central, while the Reds are 4th. BSOH is carrying this one on TV.
CINCINNATI REDS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +110
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, August 12th.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis closed out their series vs. the Royals with an 8-3 loss. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were the slight favorite at +104 on the money line. Things started off well for the Cardinals, as they got on the board with two runs in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Royals scored two runs in the bottom of the 2nd.
Andre Pallante got the start for the Cardinals and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs. The Cardinals’ offense was carried by Paul Goldschmidt, who went 1/2 with a homer and two RBIs.
St. Louis is 60-58 overall and 7.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 17-19 against other teams in the division. They kick off their series vs. the Reds on the road today. At home, the Cardinals are 31-27 this year, and they have gone 29-31 on the road.
As the favorite, the Cardinals are 31-29 this year and 29-29 as the underdog. St. Louis’ overall series record is 18-16-4, and they split their most recent series vs. the Royals. Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals have gone just 4-6 over their last ten.
When betting the run line on the Cardinals this season, it’s been a coin flip. They are 58-60 overall, but have been slightly better on the road, going 30-30. They have been a better bet when they are the underdog, going 38-20 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while in losing games it’s -3.6.
St. Louis is on the road in Cincinnati tonight with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The Cardinals have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 58-57. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 10-9-1. So far this season, 76.3% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs. The over has hit in their last three games.
Sonny Gray will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Rays and picked up the win. In that outing, he went seven innings, giving up just two earned runs. Looking back over his last three outings, Gray has finished with a no-decision in two of them. He has a record of 11-6 this season and an ERA of 3.65. Gray’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. Opposing batters are hitting .214 off Gray this season. The right-hander has made 21 starts, and opponents have a batting average of .214 off him this season.
St. Louis will be looking for their offense to pick things up, as they are averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. This is also the 18th ranked home run hitting team in the league and are just 16th in slugging percentage. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .247 this season.
Right fielder Alec Burleson has been a bright spot for the Cardinals offense this season, leading the team with 20 homers and 67 RBIs, while batting .277. Brendan Donovan and Nolan Gorman are also near the top of the league in home runs, but Gorman is batting just .206 this season. Over his last five games, Nolan Arenado has gone 7/18.
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Brewers, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing two runs to the Brewers in the 2nd inning, the Reds responded with two runs of their own. Cincinnati went on to add another two runs in the 4th inning.
Buck Farmer picked up the win out of the bullpen for the Reds, and Alexis Diaz picked up the save. Starter Nick Lodolo only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on three hits. He also issued three walks and took the loss.
Cincinnati will host the Cardinals with an overall record of 57-61, and they are 4th in the NL Central, 10.5 games behind the Brewers. The Reds lost the series to the Brewers, dropping two of three games. So far, they are 15-17 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Reds are 28-31 this year, and they have gone 29-30 on the road. As the favorite, Cincinnati has put together a record of 30-26 and 27-35 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 9-10 as the underdog at home. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 14-20-3, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
When it comes to the run line, the Reds have been a solid bet on the road, going 37-22. They have a run line record of 26-33 at home. The Reds’ average run margin for the season is +0.3 runs per game. They have been the underdog in 62 games, going 38-24 on the run line in those contests. Their average run margin in wins is +3.8 runs per game.
The Reds have played in 115 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs in 32 of those contests. In those games, the over has hit just four times, with 18 games ending in a push. Cincinnati’s games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and the under has hit in two straight games.
Left-hander Andrew Abbott gets the start for the Reds today vs. the Cardinals and comes into the game with a record of 9-9 and an ERA of 3.70. In his 23 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.41 strikeouts per nine innings. Abbott has a BB/9 figure of 3.49. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Marlins, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts, so he is looking to get back on track today.
Elly De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/34 in his last eight games with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .264 with a team-high 20 homers. Spencer Steer has also been hitting for power, as he has 16 homers this season, but his batting average is just .233. Steer does come into the game on a four-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 11th in home runs, but their team batting average of .230 is just 24th in the MLB.