Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/9/24

There does appear to be a chance of rain in Denver on Friday, where the Rockies and Braves will face off at Coors Field. First pitch is set for 8:40 PM ET. BSSE will be televising this one, and the Braves are the heavy favorites on the money line (-165).
Friday’s over/under line is at 10.5 runs, and the Rockies will be looking to pull off the upset at +139. They are 5th in the NL West, while the Braves are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 60-54. Atlanta is currently on a 5-game losing streak. Friday’s starting pitching matchup is Grant Holmes for the Braves and Tanner Gordon for the Rockies.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline +139
This game will be played at Coors Field at 8:40 ET on Friday, August 9th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS ROCKIES:
- We have the Rockies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 16-7 loss. Atlanta was actually the slight favorite at -131 on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Brewers scored three times in the first and added another three runs in the 3rd.
Charlie Morton got the start for the Braves and took the loss. He only lasted 2 2/3 innings, giving up eight earned runs on nine hits. Austin Riley had a big game at the point, going 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Atlanta is on the road today to take on the Rockies, having dropped five straight games. The Braves are 60-54 overall, and they are 8.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. This season, they have gone 18-16 in divisional games.
At home, the Braves are 32-26 and an even 28-28 on the road. So far, the Braves have been favored in 96 of their games, and they are 53-43 in those games. As the road favorite, the Braves have gone 21-18 this year.
When the Braves are on the road, they have a run line record of 28-28. Their average run margin on the road is +0.7, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. As the favorite, Atlanta is 42-54 against the run line, while they are 9-9 as the underdog. In their wins, the Braves’ average run margin is +3.6, but in losses, it is -3.4.
Atlanta’s over/under record is 42-67, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. Their combined run average is 8.1 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 10.5 runs is 0-1. The over has hit in three straight games, but only one of their games this season has had an over/under line set higher than 10.5 runs.
Grant Holmes gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Rockies on the road. So far, he has made two starts and 12 appearances. Holmes’ record is 0-0, and his ERA is 3.00. Looking back at his last outing, he finished with a no-decision after giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Holmes has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 1.64 walks compared to 9 strikeouts. This season, he has allowed a total of two homers.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team this season, sitting 7th in the league in that category. However, they are batting just .239 as a team and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts and walks.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s best power hitters this season, as his 33 homers are 3rd in the MLB. He also comes into the game with a team-high 88 RBIs. However, he has gone just 5/22 in his last six games. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 18 homers but is batting just .227 for the season.
Rockies Records & Stats
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 9-1 loss. Colorado was the +126 underdog at home going into the game. Things really got away from the Rockies in the 1st inning, as the Mets scored four runs in the inning. Colorado’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.
Austin Gomber got the start for the Rockies and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up five earned runs. The Rockies also issued three walks and hit a batter. Brendan Rodgers was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored.
Colorado is 42-74 overall, putting them 5th in the NL West, 24.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 13-24 in divisional matchups. The Rockies dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Braves and are 2 games behind the Giants for 4th place in the division.
At home, the Rockies are 25-31 this year, and they are 17-43 on the road. Heading into today’s game, they are just 12-31 in day games. As the underdog, the Rockies are 42-74 this year, and they have yet to be the favorite in a game.
When the Rockies win, they do so by an average of 2.9 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 4.2 runs per game. Their run line record is 58-58, and they are 30-26 against the run line at home. Their average run margin is -1.6 runs per game, and they are 28-32 against the run line on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two home games.
Colorado has had a high O/U line in just 21.6% of their games this season, and their average O/U line is 9.0 runs. The Rockies’ O/U record is 58-56, and their combined run average is 10.0. Their O/U record when the line is set at 10.5 runs is 8-12, and they’ve had a three-game under streak. Today’s O/U line is set at 10.5 runs.
Tanner Gordon is set to make his 4th start of the season for the Rockies, and he will be taking on the Braves at home. Gordon has yet to pick up a win this season, but he has been solid in each of his first 3 outings. He has gone 6 innings in each of his first two starts, and in his last outing, he went 6 innings and only gave up 1 run.
Colorado’s offense has been a little below average this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game (21st). They have been a better offense at home, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. The Rockies have been good at putting the ball in play this season, as their .30 BABIP is the 3rd best mark in the league. As a team, they are also among the league leaders in home runs, with 129.
Both Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle come into the game with 19 home runs, which is 14th best in the MLB. Tovar is batting .282 for the season, while Doyle is at .261. However, Doyle has struggled of late, going just 4/34 in his last nine games. Brendan Rodgers has been hot of late, going 12/30 in his last eight games.