San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Pick & Prediction 8/7/24
From PNC Park in Pittsburgh, the Padres and Pirates will square off in an NL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 6:40 PM ET, and the forecast calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid-80s. San Diego is 62-52 and they have won three straight, while the Pirates are 56-56 and have Marco Gonzales on the mound.
The money line odds have the Padres at -149 compared to the Pirates at +127, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. Michael King is slated to start for the Padres. In the NL Central, the Pirates are 3rd, while the Padres are 2nd in the NL West.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline +127
This game will be played at PNC Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, August 7th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS PIRATES:
- We have the Pirates winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
San Diego cruised to an easy 6-0 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Pirates, they had their best chance to score in the 7th but left the bases loaded. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -169 on the money line.
Dylan Cease only went one inning for the Padres but didn’t give up a run and struck out two. Bryan Hoeing got the win out of the bullpen. Bailey Falter only went two innings for the Pirates, giving up two hits and no earned runs.
Donovan Solano had a big game at the plate for the Padres, going 4/5 with four RBIs. Tyler Wade and Jurickson Profar each had two hits and an RBI. Luis Campusano also had a two-hit game and scored a run.
Padres Records & Stats
The Padres are 62-52 overall and trail the Dodgers by four games for the NL West lead. San Diego is on a three-game winning streak, and they are 19-18 against other teams in the NL West. The Padres took the series opener vs. the Pirates and have an overall series record of 22-13-3, including winning five straight series.
At home, the Padres are 30-29 this year, and they have been good on the road at 32-23. As the favorite, the Padres are 36-30 and 26-22 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall record is largely due to their pitching, as they rank 3rd in the majors with a 3.36 team ERA.
Despite a run line record of 22-37 at home, the Padres have been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, going 61-53. Their average run differential on the road is +1.2, and their run line record away from Petco Park is an impressive 39-16. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 33-15 against the run line as an underdog this season.
Today’s over/under line for the San Diego Padres’ game against the Pittsburgh Pirates is set at 8 runs. The Padres have played in 47 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 41.2% of their games. Their combined run average this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 60-53 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 9-10-1.
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Pirates on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 9-6 with a 3.26 ERA. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, King went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on two homers. He ended up with the win in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .211 off King this season, and he has a total of 144 strikeouts compared to 39 walks.
San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are batting a collective .265, which is the best mark in the league. Not only are they the best hitting team in the league, but they also have the fewest strikeouts in the league. The Padres are also among the league leaders in slugging percentage and OPS. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 12th in the league.
Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado have been the Padres’ top power threats this season, with Profar leading the team with 19 homers and Machado right behind him with 17. Profar has gone 6/19 in his last five games, while Machado has gone 7/20 in that stretch. Profar also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak. Luis Campusano, Manny Machado, and Jurickson Profar have all gone deep in their last three games.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is at an even 56-56 overall, and they are seven games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates lost the first game of this series vs. the Padres, and they have dropped two straight games overall. So far, they are 17-15 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Pirates are 27-29 this year and 29-27 on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates are 32-35 this year, and they are 24-21 when favored. Pittsburgh has an overall series record of 16-15-5 this year.
When the Pirates win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 3.2 runs per victory. However, when they lose, it’s usually by a close margin, as their average run differential in losses is -3.4 runs per game. On the run line, Pittsburgh is 63-49 overall, including a 35-21 mark on the road, where they have a positive run differential of 0.2 runs per game. They are 28-28 against the run line at home, where they have a run differential of -0.4 runs per game. As the underdog, the Pirates are 46-21 against the run line, compared to 17-28 as the favorite. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two games.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an over/under record of 52-59 this season, with an average line of 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 11-13. Overall, 58 of their games have had lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 51.8% of their contests.
Marco Gonzales is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, where he got the start and went just 2 1/3 innings. In that outing, he gave up four earned runs, seven hits, and two home runs. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Before that, he had pitched well, giving up just one earned run in each of his previous two starts. Gonzales’ ERA for the season is 3.72, along with a record of 1-1. Opposing batters are hitting .299 off Gonzales this season. So far, he has made two home starts, coming in with a record of 0-1 and 3.43 ERA.
Over his last 10 games, Joey Bart has been swinging a hot bat for the Pirates, going 12/34 with two homers and seven RBIs. Oneil Cruz has also gone deep twice in his last nine games while batting .297. Cruz has also driven in five runs during this stretch. Bryan Reynolds and Bryan De La Cruz are the Pirates’ top home run hitters, with 19 and 18 homers, respectively.
As a team, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game and are batting just .233, which is 19th in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .301 is also one of the worst marks in the league. Overall, they are 20th in home runs and 23rd in slugging percentage.