Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/6/24
Both the Red Sox and Royals are looking to extend their winning streaks on Tuesday, as Boston has won two straight, while the Royals have won three in a row. The forecast for Tuesday’s matchup calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 80s from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO.
Brayan Bello is starting for the Red Sox, and they are 60-51 this season, putting them 3rd in the AL East. The Royals are 3rd in the AL Central with a record of 63-51. Boston is a slight money line underdog (+113), while the Royals are favored at -134. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline -134
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 8:10 ET on Tuesday, August 6th.
HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Boston cruised to a 9-5 win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Royals, they scored their final run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +111 on the money line.
James Paxton only went six innings for the Red Sox but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Brady Singer was tagged for four homers and four runs in just 5 2/3 innings of work.
Vinnie Pasquantino hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Romy Gonzalez also had a three RBI game for the Red Sox, going 1/2 with a homer.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston is 60-51 overall this season, and they are six games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. The Red Sox have gone 14-13 in divisional games this year. They Red Sox have won two straight games, and they are 1-0 in their series vs. the Royals.
At home, the Red Sox are 27-28 this year, and they have gone 33-23 on the road. As the road underdog, Boston is 19-18 this year, and they have won two straight as the underdog overall. Their series record is 18-13-5 this year, and they have won two straight series.
When it comes to the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road this season, going 32-24. Their average run margin is 0.3, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.3 runs per game at home. As the underdog, they are 33-24 vs. the run line, and they have covered in their last two games as the underdog and on the road.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road today to take on the Kansas City Royals. The O/U line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Red Sox have a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game this season. Their O/U record is 57-48, and their average O/U line for the season is 9 runs. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, the Red Sox have an O/U record of 8-4-2. In their last four games, the O/U result has been over the line.
Right-hander Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Royals on the road. Bello has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 10-5 with an ERA of 5.13. So far, he has turned in seven quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t factor into the decision. Against the Mariners on July 31st, Bello went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on seven hits. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. Looking back at his last three starts, Bello has finished with a no-decision in each one.
As a team, the Red Sox are the league’s top hitting team, with a batting average of .264. They also have the top OPS in the league and are 2nd in slugging percentage. Boston has been a very good home run hitting team this season and are also among the league leaders in runs scored. Heading into the game, they are averaging 5 runs per game on the road and 4.7 per game at home.
Rafael Devers has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/31 in his last seven games with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .307 with 25 home runs, which is 6th in the league. Devers’ 70 RBIs are the 11th most in the MLB. Jarren Duran is also having a strong season for the Red Sox, batting .295 with 14 homers and 58 RBIs.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is 63-51 overall this season, and they are five games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Royals trail the Twins by 1.5 games for the second Wild Card spot in the AL. So far, they have been really good against other teams in their division, putting up a record of 25-11.
At home, the Royals are 36-23 this year, but they have dropped three straight at home. On the road, they are just under .500 at 27-28. Kansas City has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 17-18-1 this year.
When playing at home, the Royals have been a solid bet on the run line, going 34-25, and have an average run margin of 1.0. They have been even better as an underdog, going 35-22 on the run line, while they are just 29-28 as the favorite. In their wins, they have an average run margin of 3.9, but in their losses, they have an average run margin of -3.1.
The Kansas City Royals have an over/under record of 49-62 this season, with an average of 8.7 runs scored per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 11-11. So far this season, only 14.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today and comes into the game with a record of 13-5 and an ERA of 2.57. So far, he has made 23 starts, one of which was a complete game. Lugo has turned in 17 quality starts and is averaging 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in eight innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts. Lugo’s ERA at home is 2.88 compared to 2.63 on the road.
So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league. The Royals are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts, but they don’t draw a lot of walks.
Both Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez have 20 homers this season, which is 11th in the league. Witt Jr. is batting .343 for the season, while Perez is hitting .278. Over his last seven games, Vinnie Pasquantino has five homers and is batting .323. He is also on a nine-game hitting streak.