Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/6/24

At 6:40 PM ET, the Reds and Marlins face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Reds are the betting favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -154 compared to the Marlins at +130. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Cincinnati will start Nick Lodolo, while the Marlins are set to go with Max Meyer. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East.

CINCINNATI REDS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -154

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, August 6th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS MARLINS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Cincinnati cruised to a 10-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their ten runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -142 on the money line.

Nick Martinez only went five innings for the Reds but didn’t give up a run and got the win. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued four walks. On the other side, Roddery Muñoz was tagged for four runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.

At the plate, the Reds were led by a huge game from Elly De La Cruz, who went 4/5 with two homers. He scored three times and drove in three runs. Ty France also had a three-hit game and drove in two runs.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 54-58 overall and 8.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 14-15 in divisional games. The Reds took the first game of their series vs. the Marlins and are 13-20-3 in series this year.

At home, the Reds are 28-31 this year and have gone 26-27 on the road. As the road favorite, the Reds have put together a record of 9-4 this year. So far, they have been the favorite in 53 games, going 28-25 as the favorite.

The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 59-53 overall. Cincinnati has been especially good on the road, where they are 33-20 vs. the run line. They are 26-33 at home. The Reds’ average run margin for the season is +0.3 runs per game. When they win, they win by an average of 3.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of -2.9 runs per game.

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road against the Miami Marlins today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Reds games this season is 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 50-58. The average over/under line for Reds games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 5-9. Cincinnati has played 77 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 68.8% of their games. Their current over streak is at 3 games.

Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 8-4 with a 3.99 ERA. Lodolo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his 17 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Lodolo’s last outing came vs. the Cubs, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss. Lodolo has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings.

Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ most consistent hitters this season, as he is batting .261 for the season and has gone 9/36 in his last nine games. During this stretch, he has two home runs and three RBIs. De La Cruz is currently 11th in the league with 20 homers. Spencer Steer is also among the league leaders in homers, as he has 15 this season but is batting just .229.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have the 11th ranked home run total in the league. However, they have been one of the league’s worst hitting teams this season, with a team batting average of just .229. The Reds are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 42-71 overall this season, and they are 24.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone just 11-23 in divisional games. The Marlins are trying to snap a two-game losing streak at home, and they are 20-36 on the road this year.

This season, the Marlins are just 4-13 when favored and 38-58 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 10-21-5, and they are losing their series vs. the Reds 0-1.

When it comes to run line betting, the Marlins have been a much better play as the underdog this season, going 51-45. They have been a poor bet as the favorite, going just 2-15 against the run line. Their average run differential is -1.3 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 1.5 runs per game at home.

When the Miami Marlins play at home this season, the over/under line has been set at 8 runs. Miami’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 61-49. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 16-10-2. Overall, 55 of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, which is 48.7% of their games.

Max Meyer and the Marlins are hosting the Reds today. Meyer has started 2 games, with a win and a no-decision. In his last start, he took the loss vs. the Braves, allowing 4 earned runs over 5 innings. He has 10 strikeouts in 9 innings this season.

Heading into today’s game, the Marlins offense is averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 14th in the league, and have the 26th ranked on-base percentage in the league. Miami has been one of the league’s worst home run hitting teams this season.

Jake Burger has been swinging a hot bat of late, as he has gone 9/29 in his last seven games with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .239 with a team-high 47 RBIs and 17 homers. Jesús Sánchez is right behind him with 13 homers and 42 RBIs, while batting .241 for the season.