Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 8/2/24
Friday’s matchup between the Brewers and Nationals has a first pitch set for 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Milwaukee is currently on a two-game losing streak and is 61-47 overall, which has them in 1st place in the NL Central. Washington is 4th in the NL East with a record of 49-60.
The over/under line for Friday’s game is at 9 runs, and the Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -119 compared to the Nationals at +100. Jake Irvin is starting for the Nationals, while the Brewers are going with Frankie Montas.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +100
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Friday, August 2nd.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Brewers Records & Stats
Milwaukee closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 6-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Brewers were the slight favorite at +101 on the money line. Things started off well for the Brewers, as they got on the board with two runs in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Braves scored two runs in the top of the first.
Freddy Peralta put together a good start for the Brewers, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out seven. However, he took the loss, as the Brewers’s offense scored only two runs the rest of the way. Jackson Chourio had two hits and scored a run, and Gary Sanchez had two hits and drove in a run.
Milwaukee is 61-47 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They hold a 5.5 game lead over the Cardinals for the division lead. The Brewers lost the final two games of their series vs. the Braves and are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
The Brewers have gone 23-13 against other teams in the NL Central. So far, they are 31-21 at home compared to 30-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 35-25 and 26-22 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 19-13-3, and they have lost two straight series at home.
The Brewers are 56-52 on the run line this season, and they are 31-25 on the run line on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have a run line record of 32-16 as the underdog.
When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9 runs for their game against the Washington Nationals. This season, their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 58-45. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 4-5-2. Only 9.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Right-hander Frankie Montas gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 4-8 with an ERA of 5.01. Montas’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.44. In his 19 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.52 strikeouts per nine innings. Montas’ last outing came on July 24th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.
Currently, the Brewers have the 6th best home batting average in the league at .254, and their team on-base percentage of .330 is 3rd best in the MLB. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th best in the league. Milwaukee has been very good at putting the ball in play this season, as their team BABIP of .31 is 2nd best in the league.
Willy Adames has been a key power threat for the Brewers this season, as his 17 homers are 2nd on the team and 14th best in the league. Rhys Hoskins has also been a key power bat, but he is hitting just .220 this season. However, Hoskins is on a 7-game hitting streak and has four homers in his last 10 games. Overall, he is batting .290 over that stretch.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington closed out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Diamondbacks scored two runs in the bottom of the 9th. The Nationals were the +151 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
MacKenzie Gore put together a good start for the Nationals, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just three runs on eight hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the loss. Offensively, the Nationals scored their four runs on 10 hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Washington is hosting the Brewers today with an overall record of 49-60, putting them 4th in the NL East. The Nationals trail the Phillies by 16.5 games in the division and are 8.0 games out of a Wild Card spot. The team is looking to snap a four-game losing streak today, and they dropped the final three games of their series vs. the Diamondbacks.
At home, the Nationals are 23-27 compared to 26-33 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 39-51 this season, and they are just above .500 at 17-21 as the home underdog. So far, they have gone 10-9 as the favorite. Washington’s overall series record is 14-19-2, and they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
Despite a losing record against the run line at home, the Nationals have been a solid bet on the road, going 35-24 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 53-37 against the run line, compared to 9-10 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while it is -3.7 in losing games.
The Washington Nationals are playing host to the Milwaukee Brewers today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Nationals have played to an average combined run total of 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 54-51. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, they have gone 9-9-2. The over has hit in three straight games for the Nationals.
Jake Irvin will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Cardinals. In that start, which came on July 27th, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up just two earned runs. Looking back over his last four outings, Irvin has finished with a no-decision, win, loss, and loss. His record for the season is 8-8, and he has an ERA of 3.44. Opposing batters are hitting .224 off the right-hander this season. For the year, Irvin has made 22 starts, 13 of which were quality starts.
For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. This has been split between 4.3 runs per game on the road and 4.1 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting just .241, but they are one of the better teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts.
CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have been the Nationals’ top power threats this season, with 15 and 11 home runs, respectively. Abrams is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 52. Over his last eight games, Juan Yepez is batting .281 with one home run and eight RBIs. Alex Call and Ildemaro Vargas are both on three-game hitting streaks coming into today’s game.