Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 7/30/24

Corbin Burnes and the Orioles are the heavy favorite on the money line today at -201, while the Blue Jays have a line of +169. This AL East matchup is set for 6:35 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles currently lead the division at 63-44. The Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East with a record of 50-57.

Chris Bassitt will be on the mound for the Blue Jays, and he will be looking to help his team pull off the upset. Tuesday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on SNET.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 6:35 ET on Tuesday, July 30th.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Toronto cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 2nd inning, scoring eight of their nine runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were at +129 on the money line.

Bowden Francis got the win for the Blue Jays, going just 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Cade Povich had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss after going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was the difference for the Blue Jays, as he went 4/5 with a home run and three RBIs. Guerrero Jr. now has 31 homers on the season and is hitting .345.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is 50-57 overall and 5th in the AL East, 13 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. So far, they are 14-19 in AL East matchups. The Blue Jays have gone 6-4 across their last ten games and have an even 26-28 record at home.

As the road team today, the Blue Jays are 24-29 this season. They are also 33-24 as the favorite compared to 17-33 as the underdog. Toronto’s overall series record is 12-16-5, and they are currently tied with the Orioles in their series.

When the Blue Jays win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, averaging a run differential of 3.1 runs per game. However, in their losses, they lose by an average of 4.0 runs per game. Despite a negative run differential on the season, they have a winning record against the run line at 51-56. They have been especially good against the run line on the road, going 33-20.

The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Blue Jays games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 58-46. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 18-18. The over has hit in seven straight Blue Jays games.

Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with a 3.78 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .256 this season. Bassitt has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.47 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts.

Over his last seven games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire, going 15/26 with four homers and nine RBIs. Guerrero Jr. is also on a 12-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .311 with 21 homers and 69 RBIs, which is 10th in the league. Toronto’s other two big home run threats are George Springer and Daulton Varsho, who have 13 homers apiece.

Overall, the Blue Jays are 23rd in the league in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .240 and have the league’s 20th ranked home run total. However, they have been good at avoiding strikeouts and are 5th in the league in this category.

Orioles Records & Stats

Baltimore is 63-44 overall and leads the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. The Orioles are 21-10 in divisional games, and they will take on the Blue Jays at home today. So far, they are 32-25 at home and have been really good on the road, going 31-19 this season.

As the favorite, the Orioles are 51-35 this season, and they are 29-22 as the home favorite. Baltimore’s overall series record is 21-10-2, and they have dropped two straight series. Their most recent series loss came against the Tigers.

The Orioles have been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 57-50. They have been even better on the road, going 30-20 against the run line. As the underdog, they are 15-6 against the run line. They have an average run margin of +0.8 this season.

When the Orioles play at home, the over has been a popular bet this season. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 58-39. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 8.5, the over has gone 18-13. Baltimore has had 29 games with over/under lines set at 8.5, which accounts for 27.1% of their games. The over has hit in their last 8 games.

Corbin Burnes has made 21 starts this season, and he has a record of 10-4 with an ERA of 2.46. So far, he has turned in 17 quality starts and is averaging 8.25 strikeouts per nine innings. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is 1.04. In his last outing, Burnes finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 7 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Burnes has been much better on the road this season, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 2.94 compared to 5-2 with a 2.10 ERA at home.

Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs this season, but they are also one of the top-scoring teams in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. Baltimore has been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254 as a team, and their slugging percentage of .452 is also the best in the MLB.

Anthony Santander comes into the game as the Orioles’ leader in home runs and is also 9th in the league in RBIs. He has three homers in his last seven games, but is hitting just .250 during that stretch. Gunnar Henderson has gone deep 28 times this season, which is 2nd on the team and 5th in the league. He is also batting .283 and has a five-game hitting streak coming into the game.