Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/29/24
At 8:10 PM ET, the Braves and Brewers face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line (-123). The money line odds have the Braves at +105. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Grant Holmes is starting for the Braves, and he is facing off against Colin Rea. The Braves are 56-48 and they are 2nd in the NL East, while the Brewers are 60-45 and they lead the NL Central. BSSO is carrying this game on TV.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline +105
This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Monday, July 29th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS BREWERS:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mets, closing out their series with a 9-2 win. After allowing two runs to the Mets in the bottom of the first, the Braves responded with four runs of their own. Atlanta went on to add another four runs in the 4th inning.
Reynaldo Lopez put together a good start for the Braves, going three innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out two. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Austin Riley, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers, the Braves have won two straight games, and they are 8.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Overall, the Braves are 56-48, and they are 16-14 in divisional games. Atlanta’s overall series record is 18-13-4, and they have dropped two straight series at home.
At home, the Braves are 30-21 this year and 26-27 on the road. They have gone just 4-6 in their last 10 games, and they split their most recent series with the Mets. As the underdog, the Braves are 6-10 this year, and they have won two straight games as the underdog overall.
When the Braves are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 26-27. They have won two straight games against the run line and have covered in eight of their last 10 games overall. Their average run margin on the road is +0.7 runs per game, which is better than their overall run differential of +0.5 runs per game.
With a combined run average of 7.9 runs per game, the Atlanta Braves have been a part of high-scoring contests this season. They have a 37-62 over/under record, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has gone 10-18. In 34.6% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs.
Right-hander Grant Holmes is getting the start for the Braves today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 10 appearances this season but has yet to pick up a win or a loss, coming out of the bullpen for all of his outings. Holmes’ ERA is 2.70, and opponents are batting .195 this season. In his last outing, he went 3 1/3 innings and gave up two earned runs on five hits. Holmes has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .306 with 30 home runs and 82 RBIs. Over his last 10 games, he has gone 12/37 with four homers. Ozuna also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team in homers, but he has just a .227 batting average this season.
Overall, the Braves offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They are also a below-average team in terms of drawing walks and on-base percentage. As a team, the Braves are the league’s 8th best home run-hitting club and have the 13th best team batting average in the MLB.
Brewers Records & Stats
The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 6-2 win. After allowing one run to the Marlins in the top of the first, the Brewers responded with two runs of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another four runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Brewers was Jakob Junis, who picked up the win and went nine innings, allowing just two runs on seven hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win thanks to the Brewers’s offense. Jake Bauers went 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
Milwaukee is 60-45 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They hold a six-game lead over the Cardinals for the division lead. The Brewers will host the Braves today with an overall division record of 23-13.
The Brewers lost two of three in their series vs. the Marlins. Overall, they have a series record of 19-12-3. At home, the Brewers are 30-19 this year and 30-26 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 34-24 and 26-21 as the underdog.
When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a solid play this season, going 55-50 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 31-25 against the run line. As the underdog, they have been even better, going 32-15. Their average run differential this season is +0.8 runs per game.
The Milwaukee Brewers are home against the Atlanta Braves today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Brewers have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 56-44. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 23-17. So far this season, 20.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Braves. Rea has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.60 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Rea has a WHIP of 1.21 and has turned in six quality starts. In his last outing, Rea went five innings vs. the Cubs, giving up seven hits, two homers, and seven earned runs. He did not take the loss in that outing, finishing with a no-decision. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Currently, the Brewers are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. This is a team that has been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 5th best mark in the MLB, and they have been very good at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 17th fewest strikeouts in the league.
William Contreras has been a big surprise for the Brewers this season, as he is batting .286 with 11 homers and 57 RBIs. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are also near the top of the Brewers home run leaderboard, with Adames leading the team with 68 RBIs and Hoskins coming in at 53. Both players have been swinging a good bat of late, with Hoskins going 6/20 in his last seven games and Adames going 9/24 in his last six games.