Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/29/24
At 6:40 PM ET, the Guardians and Tigers face off in an AL Central matchup. Monday’s matchup is taking place at Comerica Park in Detroit, and the Guardians are currently leading the AL Central with a record of 63-42. The Tigers are 4th in the division at 52-55.
Cleveland is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -119 compared to the Tigers at +101. Today’s over/under line is at 7 runs, and the game can be seen on BSDET.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -119
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 6:40 ET on Monday, July 29th.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Guardians Records & Stats
The Guardians wrapped up their series vs. the Phillies with a 4-3 win on the road. Cleveland was the +109 underdog going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Phillies scored a run in the bottom of the first.
Cleveland started Joey Cantillo, and he took the loss, going just 3 1/3 innings, and giving up three earned runs on four hits. The Guardians’s offense was carried by Jhonkensy Noel, who went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Cleveland will be on the road today to take on the Tigers with an overall record of 63-42, which has them leading the AL Central by 4.5 games. The Guardians are 17-15 in divisional games this season. They closed out their series vs. the Phillies with a win and took the series 2-1.
At home, the Guardians have gone 33-15 this season, and they are above .500 at 30-27 on the road. So far, they have really thrived as the favorite, going 45-23, and they are 18-19 as the underdog. Cleveland’s series record is 21-9-3 this year.
When betting the run line on the Cleveland Guardians this season, bettors have been slightly profitable, as the Guardians have a run line record of 51-54, which includes a 29-28 record on the road. The Guardians have an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game this season. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 22-15 against the run line, compared to 29-39 as the favorite. In their wins, the Guardians have an average run margin of +3.3 runs, while in their losses, the average run margin is -3.2 runs.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today against the Detroit Tigers. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The Guardians have played in 98 games with over/under lines set higher than 7 runs this season, which accounts for 93.3% of their games. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 49-50 overall. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 3-3-1. They are currently on a 5-game under streak.
Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Tigers. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 8-4 with a 3.50 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09. In his 21 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.12 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time Bibee took the mound, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work vs. the Tigers. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
Jose Ramirez has been the top power hitter for the Guardians this season, as his 24 home runs are the best on the team and 8th best in the league. His 82 RBIs are also the 2nd most in the MLB. Ramirez comes into the game with a batting average of .271. Josh Naylor is 2nd on the team with 22 homers and has driven in 72 runs.
Over his last eight games, Jhonkensy Noel has two homers while going 6/24. Steven Kwan has also gone deep twice in his last nine games, but he is just 8/34 in that stretch. Kwan and David Fry are both on three-game hitting streaks.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 5-0 loss to Minnesota, Alex Faedo was sharp on the mound, allowing just one run while pitching out of trouble in the first inning. The Tigers also got a good defensive performance, as they turned three double plays. However, they couldn t get anything going offensively, and Alex Faedo took the loss.
Faedo only lasted one inning in his start, giving up one run on two hits. He also issued a walk and took the loss. The Tigers were the +125 underdog at home going into this game.
Detroit is 52-55 overall and trails the Guardians by 12 games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 19-17 in divisional matchups. The Tigers are at home today, where they are 25-26 compared to 27-29 on the road.
As the underdog, the Tigers are 30-35 this year and 22-20 when favored. They have an overall series record of 13-15-5. Detroit’s most recent series came against the Twins, which they lost 2-1. Heading into today’s game, they are 5-5 over their last 10.
When betting the run line in Detroit Tigers games, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road than at home. The Tigers are 33-23 against the run line on the road this season, compared to just 21-30 at home. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 42-23 against the run line, compared to just 12-30 as the favorite.
Today’s over/under line of 7 runs is lower than the average over/under line for Detroit Tigers games this season, which has been 8 runs. The Tigers have played in 94 games with over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, and the over has hit in 58 of those games. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the over has hit in 5 games and the under has hit in 5 games.
Right-hander Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Tigers today and comes in with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 2.95. So far this season, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .205 off Flaherty this year. In his 18 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 11.22 strikeouts per nine innings. Flaherty most recently faced the Guardians on July 24th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Riley Greene has been a bright spot for the Tigers’ offense this season, as he is batting .264 with 17 homers and a team-high 51 RBIs. Matt Vierling is also having a solid season at the plate, with a batting average of .256 and 13 homers. Vierling is also on a three-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. However, Javier Báez has struggled of late, going just 3/17 in his last five games.
Overall, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They are also just 19th in team batting average and have a collective on-base percentage of just .297. As a team, they are 14th in homers and have the 13th best isolated power mark in the league.