Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 7/28/24

The Pirates and Diamondbacks are set to face off in an NL matchup at 4:10 PM ET at Chase Field in Phoenix. Pittsburgh has lost two straight and is 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 52-52. Arizona, meanwhile, has won four in a row and is 3rd in the NL West with an overall record of 55-50.

The money line odds have the Pirates at -119 compared to the Diamondbacks at -102, and the over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs. SN PT is televising this one, and the Pirates are starting Mitch Keller, while the Diamondbacks have Yilber Diaz on the mound.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -102

This game will be played at Chase Field at 4:10 ET on Sunday, July 28th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS DIAMONDBACKS:

• We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was all Arizona in the last game of this series, as the Diamondbacks took down the Pirates by a score of 9-5. The D-backs offense only had two more hits than the Pirates and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -180 on the money line.

Pittsburgh got on the board first with one run in the first inning, but the D-backs responded with three runs in the 2nd and added two more in the 5th. As for the Pirates, they scored their final run in the 5th and added three more in the 6th, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.

Brandon Pfaadt got the win for Arizona, going six innings and giving up five earned runs. He finished the game with just four strikeouts and allowed one home run. Quinn Priester had a rough outing for the Pirates, taking the loss.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is at an even 52-52 overall, and they are 3rd in the NL Central, seven games behind the Brewers. The Pirates have dropped two straight games, with both coming in this series vs. the Diamondbacks. So far, they are 17-15 in divisional games.

At home, the Pirates are 26-26 this season, and they are also 26-26 on the road. As the road favorite, the Pirates have gone 9-6 this year, and they are 22-20 as the favorite overall. Pittsburgh has won four straight series and has an overall series record of 15-13-5 this year.

The Pirates have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 31-21. They have a run line record of 57-47 overall, and their average run differential is -0.1 runs per game. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 42-20, compared to 15-27 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +3.3 runs per game, while it’s -3.5 runs per game in losses.

The Pirates have an over/under record of 47-56 this season, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total 20 times and under 14 times. Overall, 49% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Pittsburgh is sending right-hander Mitch Keller to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. So far this season, he has made 20 starts and has a record of 10-5 with a 3.34 ERA. Keller’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. In his 20 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run. Keller has allowed a total of 13 homers this season. Looking back at his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision in each one.

So far this season, the Pirates are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. Overall, they are batting just .232, which is 18th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .299 is also near the bottom of the league. One thing they do have going for them is that they have been swinging the bats better of late, with shortstop Oneil Cruz hitting .324 over his last nine games, with two homers and nine RBIs.

Bryan Reynolds has been the Pirates’ top hitter this season, with a batting average of .288, and he is also 14th in the league with 61 RBIs. His 18 homers are also the best mark on the team. Cruz is 2nd on the team with 16 homers and 52 RBIs.

Diamondbacks Records & Stats

Arizona is 55-50 overall and trail the Padres by 1 game for 2nd place in the NL West. Currently, they are 6.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks have won four straight games, and they have taken a 2-0 series lead vs. the Pirates.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 28-24 this season and 27-26 on the road. Arizona has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 27-31 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 28-19 this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 16-13-4 and have won three straight series overall and four straight on the road.

Arizona has been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 55-50. The Diamondbacks have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 31-22 compared to 24-28 at home. Arizona has been a profitable bet as an underdog on the run line, going 35-23. The Diamondbacks have a run line win streak as an underdog, covering in two straight games.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have played to an Over/Under record of 55-47 this season, with an average combined run average of 9.7 runs per game. When the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 20-14. In total, 41 of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 39.0% of their contests.

Yilber Diaz is getting the start for the Diamondbacks at home against the Pirates. He has started three games this season and is 1-1. In his last outing, he took a loss to the Royals, going 3 innings and giving up 7 runs.

Arizona comes into today’s game as one of the league’s most potent offenses, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 2nd in the MLB. They have been equally as good at home and on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest in both situations. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best hitting team, with a combined batting average of .254.

Both Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have gone deep 23 times this season, which is 9th in the league. Walker has driven in 71 runs, which is 6th best in the MLB, and Marte is 8th in the league with 68 RBIs. Marte has been especially hot of late, going 8/18 in his last five games with four homers.