Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/28/24

From the Rogers Centre in Toronto, we have the Rangers and Blue Jays facing off in an AL matchup. First pitch is set for 1:37 PM ET, and BSSW will be televising this one.

Currently, the Rangers are 51-54, while the Blue Jays are 48-56. Texas is the slight money line favorite today, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. Jose Berrios will be starting for the Blue Jays, and the Rangers are starting Jon Gray. In the AL West, the Rangers are in 3rd place, while the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS TEXAS RANGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -107

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 1:37 ET on Sunday, July 28th.

HOW TO BET THE RANGERS VS BLUE JAYS:

• We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Toronto cruised to a 7-3 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Rangers, they scored their first run in the 3rd and added their final two runs in the 5th.

Kevin Gausman pitched well for the Blue Jays in this one, going nine innings and giving up just three earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Michael Lorenzen had a rough outing for the Rangers, giving up four earned runs in just two-thirds of an inning of work.

Daulton Varsho and Alejandro Kirk each had three hits and combined to score five runs for the Blue Jays. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also had a three-hit game and drove in three runs. Justin Turner only had one hit for Toronto, but it was a two-run homer.

Rangers Records & Stats

Texas is 51-54 overall and trails the Astros by 4.5 games in the AL West. The Rangers have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Blue Jays 0-2. So far, they have gone 13-16 in AL West matchups.

At home, the Rangers have gone 29-23 this season, and they are 22-31 on the road. As the favorite, Texas is 33-23 this season and 18-31 as the underdog. The Rangers have won six straight games as the favorite.

The Rangers are 23-30 against the run line on the road this season, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last two games away from home. They have an average run margin of -0.7 runs per game on the road this season.

With the over/under line set at 8.5 runs, the Texas Rangers have had 33 games this season with a higher line, accounting for 31.4% of their games. The over/under record for the Rangers this season is 43-58, and they have gone over the line in 14 of their 34 games with an 8.5 run line. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.

Texas is sending Jon Gray to the mound today, and he comes into the game with a record of 5-4 and an ERA of 3.73. In his 17 starts, Gray has pitched seven innings seven times and has a total of seven quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Gray went 7 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. He only allowed four hits in that outing. Gray has been pitching well lately, as he has allowed three earned runs or fewer in each of his last three starts. Per nine innings, Gray is averaging 7.47 strikeouts and just 2.2 walks.

After a slow start to the season, Marcus Semien has picked up his play of late, going 9/28 in his last seven games, including two home runs. For the season, he is batting .246 with 15 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager are the top two home run hitters for the Rangers, but Garcia is batting just .213 and Seager is at .272.

Overall, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been a better offense on the road this season. As a team, they are batting .239 and have the 15th ranked scoring offense in the league. Currently, Texas has three players with at least 50 RBIs.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is 5th in the AL East, and they trail the Orioles by 13 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 48-56 as they host the Rangers today. Toronto has won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

So far, the Blue Jays are 13-18 against other AL East teams. At home, they are 25-28 this year and 23-28 on the road. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are 15-32 this year and 33-24 when favored. Toronto’s overall series record is 11-16-6, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

The Blue Jays have been a run line underdog in 47 games this season, and they are 25-22 in those games. Their average run differential in their wins is +3.1, while their average run differential in their losses is -4.0. They have covered the run line in two straight games as an underdog.

The Blue Jays are playing at home against the Rangers, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Toronto’s games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 55-46. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-18. Overall, the over has hit in four straight Blue Jays games.

José Berríos will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays, as he gets the start for the Blue Jays vs. the Rangers today. In that last start, he took the loss and gave up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Berríos has finished with a no-decision, loss, and loss. His record for the season is 8-8, and he has an ERA of 4.08. Berríos’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. Out of his 21 starts, he has 12 quality starts and one complete game. Per nine innings, Berríos is averaging 6.7 strikeouts and 2.84 walks.

For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the majors. They have been slightly better on the road (4.2 RPG) than at home (4.0 RPG). As a team, they are batting .238, which is 13th in the league, but their on-base percentage and slugging percentage are both just around league average. Toronto’s team OPS of .690 is 18th in the MLB.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. comes into the game with a nine-game hitting streak, and he has been on fire of late, going 13/28 in his last eight games with four home runs. For the season, he is batting .301 with 18 homers and 62 RBIs. Guerrero’s 62 RBIs are 13th in the league. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 13 homers but is batting just .227.