Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 7/27/24

From Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have the Guardians and Phillies facing off in an interleague matchup. The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line (-159), while the Guardians are at +134. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 9 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 6:05 PM ET, and BSGL will be televising the game. Cleveland comes in with a record of 62-41, while the Phillies are 64-39. Tyler Phillips will be starting for the Phillies, and the Guardians are starting Carlos Carrasco.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -159

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:05 ET on Saturday, July 27th.

HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS PHILLIES:

• We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Cleveland picked up a 3-1 road win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians offense got off to a fast start, scoring one run in the first and adding two more in the 4th. As for the Phillies, they got on the board with one run in the 5th and couldn’t muster any more offense.

Ben Lively got the win for the Guardians, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Emmanuel Clase closed things out. Cristopher Sanchez had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss.

At the plate, Cleveland was led by Angel Martinez and Andres Gimenez, as they were the only two Guardians hitters to have more than one hit. Martinez. Bryson Stott had a three-hit game for the Phillies.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland is 62-41 overall this season, and they lead the AL Central by 4.5 games over the Twins. So far, they have gone just 17-15 in divisional matchups. The Guardians won the first game of this series vs. the Phillies and have an overall series record of 20-10-3 this year.

The Guardians have been really good at home this year, going 33-15, and they are above .500 on the road as well, coming in at 29-26. As the favorite, Cleveland is 45-23 this year and 17-18 as the underdog. Looking at their overall play, the Guardians are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When betting the run line on the Cleveland Guardians this season, it’s been a coin flip. They have a 50-53 run line record overall, but they’ve been slightly better on the road at 28-27. Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, and they’ve been a favorite in 68 games, going 29-39 against the run line in those contests.

The Cleveland Guardians have an over/under record of 49-48 this season, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. The over/under line for their game against the Philadelphia Phillies today is set at 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs this season, the Guardians have a record of 5-7-2. The under has hit in each of their last three games.

Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 3-8 with an ERA of 5.32. Looking at his overall numbers, Carrasco has a WHIP of 1.38 and has given up a total of 15 home runs. In his last outing, Carrasco took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He has allowed at least one home run in each of his last three starts. Carrasco’s ERA for the season on the road is 5.53.

Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 82 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB and the most on the Guardians. He is also 7th in the league with 24 homers. Ramirez is batting .270 for the season and has gone 5/20 with a homer and three RBIs over his last five games. Josh Naylor is also among the league leaders in RBIs, as his 72 is 5th in the MLB. Naylor is 2nd on the team with 22 homers but is batting just .238 for the season.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Overall, they are 12th in the league in scoring and are also 12th in team batting average. The Guardians come into the game with a collective batting average of .241.

Phillies Records & Stats

With an overall record of 64-39, the Phillies lead the NL East by nine games over the Mets. The Phillies have dropped two straight games, and this losing streak comes after going 3-7 in their last 10. So far, they have gone 15-10 against other teams in the NL East.

Philadelphia has been really good at home this year, putting together a record of 37-17. On the road, they are 27-22 this season. As the favorite, the Phillies are 56-31 and 8-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 19-11-5 but have lost three straight series.

When the Phillies are at home, they are 27-27 against the run line. They are 44-43 against the run line as the favorite and 8-8 as the underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.8, and it is -3.5 in losing games.

The Philadelphia Phillies are hosting the Cleveland Guardians today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 46-52. The average over/under line for Phillies games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 3-8-1. So far this season, 77 of their games have had over/under lines set below 9 runs, while only 14 games have had lines set above 9 runs.

Tyler Phillips is getting the start for the Phillies as they take on the Guardians at home. Phillips has been solid in his first two outings, picking up a win in each. In his first start, he went 6 innings and struck out 3, and in his last outing, he went 6 innings and struck out 5.

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 6th-ranked home run-hitting team and have the 3rd best team batting average in the MLB. Collectively, the Phillies have done a good job of avoiding strikeouts and are 3rd in on-base percentage.

Over his last 10 games, Alec Bohm has gone 12/36 (.333) with five runs scored. For the season, he is batting .296 and leads the team with 71 RBIs. Bryce Harper is 2nd on the team in RBIs and has gone deep 23 times this season, which is 8th in the league. Harper is also batting .288 for the season.