San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/25/24
Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers are the heavy favorites heading into Thursday’s matchup vs. the Giants, with the money line odds sitting at -138 compared to the Giants at +117. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 4:10 PM ET, and NBCS will be televising this one.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Giants will be looking to Logan Webb to help them pull off the upset. Webb is 4th in the NL West, while the Dodgers are 1st in the division with a record of 61-42.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline -138
This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 4:10 ET on Thursday, July 25th.
HOW TO BET THE GIANTS VS DODGERS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Giants to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
San Francisco cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Giants had a huge 8th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored their only three runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Giants were at +163 on the money line.
Robbie Ray only went five innings for the Giants but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. Tyler Glasnow struggled on the mound for the Dodgers, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.
Matt Chapman and Mike Yastrzemski each homered for the Giants, while Heliot Ramos scored twice and drove in two runs while going 1/5. Chapman, Yastrzemski, and Ramos were the only three Giants hitters to have more than one hit.
Giants Records & Stats
San Francisco is 49-54 overall this season, and they are 4th in the NL West, 12 games behind the Dodgers. The Giants are 17-18 in divisional games this year, and they will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Dodgers.
At home, the Giants have gone 28-22 this year, but they are just 21-32 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 50 games, going 27-23 in those games. As the underdog, the Giants are 22-31 this year, which includes an 14-23 mark on the road. San Francisco’s overall series record is 16-13-2, and they are 1-2 in this series vs. the Dodgers.
When betting the Giants on the run line this season, bettors have been better off taking them as the underdog. San Francisco is 31-22 against the run line in those games, compared to 18-32 as the favorite. The Giants have been outscored by an average of 0.3 runs per game this season, and their run line record is 49-54. They have been outscored by an average of 0.6 runs per game on the road, but their run line record is 28-25 in those games.
The Giants have an over/under record of 54-46 this season, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 12-7, and they have played 15 games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs. Overall, 67.0% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Right-hander Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. This year, he has made 21 starts and has a record of 7-8 with an ERA of 3.59. In his 21 appearances, Webb has turned in 14 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Webb took the loss vs. the Rockies, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings. Webb’s ERA on the road is 4.84 compared to 3.33 at home.
San Francisco’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 15th in the league. They have been pretty consistent at home and on the road, averaging 4.4 and 4.3 runs per game, respectively. The Giants are 19th in the league in home runs and have a team batting average of .242.
Heliot Ramos and Matt Chapman are tied for the team lead with 14 home runs apiece, with Ramos also leading the team in RBIs (48) and Chapman is 2nd with 45 RBIs. Chapman is batting just .233 for the season, and Ramos is hitting .288. Jorge Soler is also near the top of the Giants’ home run list, but he is batting just .220 for the season. Tyler Fitzgerald has been hot of late, going 8/14 in his last five games with four homers.
Dodgers Records & Stats
Los Angeles currently leads the NL West by 7.5 games over the Padres and are 61-42 overall. The Dodgers are 20-16 in divisional games this year and are 32-20 as the favorite at home. On the road, the Dodgers have gone 28-22 this year.
So far, the Dodgers have gone 18-14-1 in series this year. Over their last ten games, the Dodgers are 6-4 and have gone 2-1 so far in this series vs. the Giants. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 58-35 and 3-7 as the underdog this year.
The Dodgers have been a solid run line team this season, going 50-53 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 26-24 compared to 24-29 at home. Their average run differential is +0.9 runs per game, and they have been a run line favorite in 93 of their 103 games.
When the Dodgers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 53-50, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 24-17. Overall, 31.1% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
Clayton Kershaw is coming off a season in which he made 24 starts and finished with a record of 13-5. His ERA for the season was 2.46, and he averaged 9.36 strikeouts per nine innings. Last season, Kershaw made three starts against the Giants, going 2-1 with an ERA of 1.27. For the season, Kershaw allowed a total of 19 home runs and averaged 1.7 walks per game. His WHIP for the season was 1.06, and his FIP was 4.03.
Shohei Ohtani has been the Dodgers’ top power threat this season, as his 30 homers are 2nd in the league and lead the team. Ohtani is also 4th in the MLB with 73 RBIs. Ohtani is batting .310 for the season and has an OBP of .396. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, as his 21 homers are 9th in the league.
Over the team’s last 10 games, Gavin Lux and Teoscar Hernandez have both been swinging the bat well, with Lux hitting .379 and Hernandez batting .361. Lux and Hernandez have also each hit three homers in this stretch. Austin Barnes comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak, while Chris Taylor has a four-game streak going.