Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 7/22/24
Carlos Carrasco and the Cleveland Guardians will be hosting the Detroit Tigers today, with the game being played at 6:40 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Guardians are 1st in the AL Central and are 59-39 overall, while the Tigers are 4th in the division at 49-51.
BSGL will be televising this AL Central matchup, and the Guardians are the slight money line favorite at +101. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup features Tarik Skubal for the Tigers and Carrasco for the Guardians.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline +101
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:40 ET on Monday, July 22nd.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 7 to 6
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over
Tigers Records & Stats
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 5th inning before the Blue Jays scored four runs in the bottom of the 5th. Detroit was the +142 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Keider Montero had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on eight hits and issuing three walks. Justus-Henry Malloy hit a homer for thejson Tigers but went only 1/3. Detroit’s offense scored their other three runs in the 5th.
Detroit is 49-51 overall as they head into today’s road matchup vs. the Guardians. The Tigers are 4th in the AL Central, and they trail the Guardians by 11 games. So far, they have gone 16-13 in divisional games. The Tigers have won four straight series, and they are 14-13-4 in series overall.
At home, the Tigers are an even 24-24 this year compared to 25-27 on the road. As the road favorite, the Tigers have gone 6-5 this year, and they are 21-20 as the favorite overall. Detroit has been a bit better than average as the underdog, going 28-31 this season.
When it comes to betting the run line with the Detroit Tigers, it’s been a profitable venture on the road this season. The Tigers have a run line record of 29-23 on the road, and they are currently on a six-game run line win streak. They are 38-21 against the run line as an underdog, but just 11-30 against the run line as a favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5.
The Detroit Tigers are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season. The Tigers have a 54-43 over/under record this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the Tigers have gone over in 16 of 26 games. The over has hit in three straight games for Detroit.
Detroit is sending left-hander Tarik Skubal to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 10-3 with a 2.40 ERA. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .88, and opponents are batting .188 off him this year. Skubal has made 14 quality starts this year and is averaging 10.86 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Riley Greene has been on a tear of late for the Tigers, going 13/31 (.419) over his last eight games. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs, as he has 51 for the season and is also 10th in the league with 17 homers. Matt Vierling is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 12 is 15th in the MLB. Vierling is batting .251 for the season.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. Their batting average of .233 is 20th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .299 is also near the bottom of the league. Detroit’s offense has been better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game.
Guardians Records & Stats
The Guardians will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Padres with a 2-1 loss. This was Cleveland’s third straight loss, as they also dropped their last two games vs. the White Sox. Ben Lively got the start for the Guardians, taking the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits. Cleveland’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd inning.
After the Guardians’ offense scored their run, the Padres tied things up in the 7th with a run of their own. Cleveland’s bullpen then allowed another run in the top of the 9th to take the loss. The Guardians were the -112 favorite at home going into the game.
Cleveland is hosting the Tigers today with an overall record of 59-39, which has them leading the AL Central by five games. The Guardians dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Padres and are just 3-7 across their last 10 games.
So far, the Guardians have gone 15-13 in divisional games, and they are 3-1 as home underdogs this season. Cleveland’s overall home record is 31-13 compared to 28-26 on the road. As the underdog, the Guardians have dropped six straight games, and their overall series record is 19-10-2.
When the Cleveland Guardians are the home team, the run line has been a good bet to take, as they are 22-22. Their average run margin at home is 1.1, and their overall average run margin for the season is 0.9. They have been the underdog in 33 games, and their run line record is 20-13.
The Cleveland Guardians have played 63 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 47-45, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, they are 15-15. The under has hit in their last six games, and the O/U line for today’s game against the Detroit Tigers is set at 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Tigers at home. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 3-7 with a 5.02 ERA. Carrasco’s WHIP for the season is 1.36, and he has issued just 2.72 walks per nine innings compared to 7.12 strikeouts. In his last outing, Carrasco took the loss, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had three straight starts in which he didn’t give up more than three earned runs and didn’t take the loss in any of those outings.
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 23 home runs are 5th in the league and the most on the Guardians. His 79 RBIs are also 2nd in the MLB. So far, Ramirez is batting .271, and he is on a six-game hitting streak, going 6/24 in this stretch. Josh Naylor has also been a big power threat, as his 22 homers are 6th in the league, and he is 3rd in the MLB with 71 RBIs.
Overall, the Guardians are 10th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Guardians are batting .241, which is 14th in the league, and they are 13th in home runs.