Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 7/19/24
The money line odds for Friday’s Rays vs. Yankees matchup have the Yankees as the heavy favorite, with their odds sitting at -174. The Rays are +146 on the money line, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 PM ET, and BSSUN will be televising this AL East matchup. Zach Eflin is starting for the Rays, and the Yankees are starting Gerrit Cole. Tampa Bay is 48-48, while the Yankees are 58-40.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -174
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Friday, July 19th.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS YANKEES:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Rays Records & Stats
The Rays’s offense was carried by Jose Siri in their most recent game vs. the Guardians. Siri went only 1/3, but it was a home run, and the Rays only scored two runs. Tampa Bay’s other run came in the 3rd inning. Ryan Pepiot put together a good start for the Rays, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out four Cleveland batters.
Pete Fairbanks closed things out for the Rays, picking up the save. Tampa Bay’s offense scored their only two runs on a homer from Brandon Lowe, going just 1/4.
Tampa Bay is at .500 with a record of 48-48, and they are 10 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they are 12-18 in AL East matchups. The Rays are on the road today to take on the Yankees, and they are 21-21 on the road this year.
As the favorite, the Rays have gone 28-25 this year and 20-23 as the underdog. Tampa Bay has dropped three straight road games heading into today’s matchup. They have an overall series record of 17-11-2 and have won two straight series.
The Rays have been a solid team to bet on the run line when they are on the road this season, as they are 25-17 against the run line. They have an average run differential of -0.7 runs per game on the road, but they have been able to cover the run line in most of their games.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Tampa Bay Rays’ road game against the New York Yankees is a half-run below their combined run average of 8.5. The Rays have played to a 45-46 over/under record this season, with their average line set at 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, Tampa Bay has gone 11-13-1 to the over, and the under has hit in three straight games.
Zach Eflin gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Yankees on the road. So far this season, he has made 17 starts and has a record of 5-6 with a 3.99 ERA. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his last outing, he took the loss, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Eflin has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 7.07 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has only allowed 13 homers.
As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. So far this season, they have just the 19th ranked home run total and are batting a combined .236.
Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays this season, as his 15 homers are 14th in the league and leads the team. He also has a team-high 50 RBIs and comes into the game with a batting average of .261. Yandy Diaz is 2nd on the team with a batting average of .273 and has gone deep eight times.
Yankees Records & Stats
New York closed out their series vs. the Orioles with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as the Yankees held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Orioles scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. Clay Holmes took the loss out of the bullpen for the Yankees, and Carlos Rodon got the start for New York, going four innings and giving up two earned runs. The Yankees also wasted a big game from Trent Grisham, who went 3/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
Ben Rice’s homer in the 2nd inning was the only run the Yankees scored before the 9th. The Yankees were the -118 favorite on the money line going into the game.
The Yankees are 58-40 overall this season, putting them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York will host the Rays today, and they are 16-19 in AL East matchups this year. The Yankees closed out their series vs. the Orioles with a win and took the series 2-1.
So far, the Yankees have been really good on the road, going 33-21, and they are 25-19 at home. As the favorite, the Yankees are 44-34 this year and 14-6 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 17-10-3, but they have lost five straight series at home.
When betting on the Yankees this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the run line when they’re the underdog. They’re 16-4 against the run line in those games. They’ve been a better run line bet on the road than at home, with a 31-23 record. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.1, while it’s -3.2 in losing games.
The Yankees have an over/under record of 50-44 this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 8-9-2. Overall, 64.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs.
After a rough outing in his first start of the season, Gerrit Cole has bounced back with a pair of wins. He went 6 innings and struck out 7 in his last start against the Orioles, allowing just 1 earned run. Cole has 21 strikeouts through his first 15 innings of work.
Not only are the Yankees the top-scoring team in the league this season, but they also have the best home run total in the league. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 8th in the league, and are averaging 5 runs per game on the road and 4.7 runs per game at home. New York is also the league’s top home run hitting team.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been leading the way for the Yankees this season, with Judge leading the team in batting average (.306) and RBIs (85), while Soto is hitting .295 with 23 homers. Soto has gone deep three times in his last 10 games, but he is just 11/42 in that stretch. Ben Rice has also struggled of late, hitting just .190 with six strikeouts in his last 10 games.