Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/13/24
The Nationals and Brewers are facing off in an NL matchup at 4:10 PM ET. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Nationals are 4th in the NL East with a record of 43-52, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central at 54-41.
Washington comes into the game as the slight money line underdog (+110), while the Brewers are favored at -130. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and Dallas Keuchel will be starting for the Brewers, while the Nationals are going with Mitchell Parker.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +110
This game will be played at American Family Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, July 13th.
HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS BREWERS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was all Washington in the last game of this series, as the Nationals took down the Brewers by a score of 5-2. The Nationals offense only had two more hits than the Brewers and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +228 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Jackson Rutledge for the Nationals and Freddy Peralta for the Brewers. Rutledge only went 4 2/3 innings but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Peralta was tagged for four runs in five innings of work.
Washington’s two-through-four hitters, Jesse Winker, Trey Lipscomb, and Juan Yepez, each had two hits and an RBI. Winker and Yepez both homered for the Nationals’ only two extra-base hits of the game.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is 43-52 overall and 18.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 16-15 in divisional matchups. The Nationals are on the road today, where they are 23-28 this year.
At home, the Nationals are 20-24 this season. They have really struggled as the underdog, going 34-44, compared to 9-8 as the favorite. Washington’s overall series record is 11-17-2, and they have lost two straight series.
Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 53-42 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 29-22 against the run line, compared to 24-20 at home. The Nationals have been a better bet as the underdog, going 45-33 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5.
The Washington Nationals are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Nationals and their opponents have combined for an average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 44-47. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs this season, their record is 5-7-2. The under has hit in each of their last three games.
Washington is sending left-hander Mitchell Parker to the mound today as he faces the Brewers on the road. Parker has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 3.44 ERA. In his 16 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work. He took the loss in that game. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a home run. Parker has been much better on the road, coming in with an ERA of 3.88 compared to 2.93 at home.
Washington’s offense is averaging just 4.1 runs per game this season, which is 20th in the league and is also 21st in home runs. However, they have been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 6th in the league in strikeouts per game. As a team, the Nationals are batting .238, which is 12th in the league.
CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as his 14 homers are the best mark on the team and 14th in the league. Abrams is also hitting .270 for the year and has driven in 46 runs. Jesse Winker is 2nd on the team with 11 homers and is batting .264. However, Winker has gone just 3/15 in his last five games.
Brewers Records & Stats
With a record of 54-41, the Brewers lead the NL Central by five games over the Cardinals. The Brewers will take on the Nationals at home today, having dropped two straight games. Their losing streak includes dropping the series opener vs. the Nationals. In divisional games this year, the Brewers are 21-12.
At home, the Brewers are 28-16 this year, and they are just over .500 at 26-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers have gone 32-20 and 22-21 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 17-10-3 but have lost two straight series.
The Brewers have been a solid run line bet this season, going 49-46 overall. They are 22-22 vs. the run line at home, where they have an average scoring margin of +0.9 runs per game. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.5 runs per game, while it’s -2.8 runs per game in losses. They are 28-15 vs. the run line as an underdog and 21-31 as a favorite.
When the Milwaukee Brewers are at home, the over/under line is typically set lower than 9 runs. The Brewers have played 76 games with over/under lines lower than 9 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 50-41. Their combined run average in those games is 8.7 runs per game.
Dallas Keuchel is set to make his first home start of the season for the Brewers, as they take on the Nationals. Keuchel has gone 4 1/3 innings in each of his first two starts, giving up 2 earned runs in his last outing against the Rockies.
Christian Yelich has been a big part of the Brewers’ offense this season, as he is batting .327 with a team-high 11 home runs. He has also been hot of late, going 12/34 in his last 10 games with three homers. Rhys Hoskins and Willy Adames are tied for the team lead with 14 homers, but Hoskins is batting just .214 this season and has gone just 4/30 in his last nine games.
Overall, the Brewers are 4th in batting average and are 10th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are 3rd in walks and have the 2nd best on-base percentage in the league.