New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/11/24
The Yankees and Rays will face off in an AL East matchup at 6:50 PM ET at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. New York is 56-38 overall, while the Rays are 45-47 and they are 2nd and 4th in the AL East, respectively.
Thursday’s matchup is being televised by BSSUN, and the Yankees are the slight money line favorites, with their odds sitting at -120 compared to +102 for the Rays. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Nestor Cortes is starting for the Yankees, while the Rays are going with Shane Baz.
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline +102
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 6:50 ET on Thursday, July 11th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS RAYS:
- We have the Rays winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
New York picked up a 2-1 road win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees offense only had two more hits than the Rays and struck out eight times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at +103 on the money line.
Tampa Bay wasted a good outing from Zach Eflin, as he gave up just one run in seven innings of work for the Rays. Marcus Stroman started for the Yankees, giving up one earned run across just 4 1/3 innings. Tim Hill got the win out of the bullpen, and Clay Holmes got the save.
At the plate, Juan Soto went 2/4 with an RBI, while Trent Grisham also had two hits and scored twice for New York. Ben Rortvedt had a two-hit game for the Rays.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees are 56-38 overall this season, which has them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles for the division lead. New York will be on the road today, facing the Rays, and they are 1-1 in this series vs. the Rays. So far, they have gone just 14-17 in AL East matchups this season.
New York has dropped seven of their last ten games, including losing the final two games before the All-Star break. As the favorite, the Yankees are 43-32 this season and 13-6 as the underdog. They have an overall series record of 16-9-3, but they have dropped two straight series.
The Yankees have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 50-44 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 29-21 against the run line. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 15-4 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in their wins is +4.1 runs per game, while their average run margin in their losses is -3.3 runs per game.
When the Yankees are on the road, the over/under line for their games is set at an average of 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season. The over/under record for the Yankees is 48-42, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-9-2. A total of 60 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which is 63.8% of their games. Only 16 games have had lower lines, at 8 runs or fewer, which is 17.0% of their games.
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 4-7 with a 3.40 ERA. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his last outing, Cortes finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Cortes has been much better at home this year, coming in with a 1.88 ERA compared to 5.86 on the road.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. This includes 5.3 runs per game on the road. New York is also one of the league’s most patient teams at the plate, as they lead the league in walks. They are also near the top of the league in OBP and slugging.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been a dynamic duo for the Yankees this season, as Judge leads the league with 83 RBIs and has 32 homers, while batting .307. Soto is batting .293 with 21 homers and 63 RBIs. Both players have been swinging a hot bat of late, with Judge going 11/38 in his last 10 games and Soto going 10/38. Giancarlo Stanton comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak.
Rays Records & Stats
Tampa Bay is 45-47 overall and 12 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. The Rays are 4-6 over their last 10 games and are 4th in the AL East. So far, they have gone just 11-18 in divisional games. This season, they are 24-26 at home and have gone 21-21 on the road.
The Rays have an overall series record of 15-11-2 this season, and they are 26-25 as the favorite. As for their record as the underdog, they are 19-22 and 7-9 as the home underdog. Tampa Bay will be looking to get back on track, as they have dropped four of their last five games.
When the Rays win, they win big, with an average run differential of +2.5 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run differential of -3.8 runs per game. Overall, the Rays are 42-50 against the run line this season, with a -0.7 run differential per game. They are 17-33 against the run line at home, compared to 25-17 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 18-33 against the run line, compared to 24-17 as the underdog.
When the Tampa Bay Rays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season. The Rays’ over/under record is 44-43 overall, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 10-13-1. This season, 40.2% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, while 33.7% have had lines set below that mark.
Shane Baz is getting the start for the Rays at home against the Yankees. He started the season with a loss on the road against the Rangers, going 6 innings and giving up 3 earned runs.
So far this season, the Rays offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .235 and have the 19th ranked slugging percentage in the league. However, the Rays do have the 8th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Isaac Paredes has been the Rays’ top power threat this season, as his 15 home runs are the most on the team and 13th in the league. However, he is hitting just .265 overall and has gone 7/31 in his last nine games. Yandy Diaz comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .269 for the season with 8 homers.