Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/11/24

The Pirates and Brewers are set to face off in an NL Central matchup at 2:10 PM ET today. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the favorites on the money line (-160). The money line odds for the Pirates are sitting at +125, and they are +106 to win this game.

Thursday’s forecast doesn’t look great in Milwaukee, as there is a chance for thunderstorms. Paul Skenes will start for the Pirates, and the Brewers are going with Aaron Civale. Pittsburgh is 3rd in the NL Central, while the Brewers are leading the division with a record of 54-39.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +106

This game will be played at American Family Field at 2:10 ET on Thursday, July 11th.

HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Pirates by a score of 9-0. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Pirates and struck out six more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -161 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Tobias Myers for the Brewers and Martin Perez for the Pirates. Myers went eight innings and didn’t give up a run as he picked up a win in the game. Perez only went 4 2/3 innings and gave up five earned runs, taking the loss.

Milwaukee’s two homers in the game came from Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins. Adames, Sal Frelick, and Andruw Monasterio each had two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense.

Pirates Records & Stats

Pittsburgh is 44-48 overall this season, and they are 9.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Pirates are 14-14 in divisional games this year. The Pirates will be looking to pick up a win today, as they have dropped four of their last five games.

At home, the Pirates are 22-24 this season while going 22-24 on the road. As the favorite, the Pirates are 18-19 this season and 26-29 as the underdog. They have won three straight games as the favorite.

When it comes to the run line, the Pirates have been a good bet this season, going 50-42. They have been particularly good on the road, going 27-19. They have also been a good bet when they are the underdog, going 37-18. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Pirates have hit the over in 44 of their 91 games this season, and the over has hit in their last three games.

Right-hander Paul Skenes is getting the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Brewers on the road. Skenes has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 5-0 with an ERA of 2.12. In his 10 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Skenes has been particularly tough on the road, coming in with a record of 2-0 and an ERA of 1.12. At home, his ERA is 3.17. Per nine innings, he is averaging 11.83 strikeouts and just 1.82 walks.

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. This is a slight improvement over their home average of 4.0 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .230, which is 17th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts per game.

Bryan Reynolds has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .280 with 17 homers and 56 RBIs. He is also on a good stretch of games, going 12/32 in his last 10 games. Oneil Cruz is 2nd on the team with 14 homers but is hitting just .247 for the season. Rowdy Tellez has been hot of late, going 12/32 in his last 10 games with five homers.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is 54-39 overall this season, and they lead the NL Central by 5.5 games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 21-11 against other teams in the NL Central. They are at home today, where they are 28-14 this season. Milwaukee has gone 26-25 on the road.

The Brewers have an overall series record of 16-9-3 this year, and they are 22-20 as the underdog. As the favorite, Milwaukee has gone 32-19. They are tied in their current series vs. the Pirates and have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games.

The Brewers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 48-45 overall. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 27-24 compared to 21-21 at home. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 27-15 compared to 21-30 as the favorite. Their average run margin overall is +0.8 runs per game.

The Milwaukee Brewers are at home today against the Pittsburgh Pirates, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 50-39. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 14-4. Overall, 75.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at three games.

Through 18 starts, Aaron Civale has a record of 2-6 and an ERA of 5.18. This season, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 9 strikeouts per nine innings. In his 18 appearances, Civale has a WHIP of 1.39 and has allowed a total of 19 home runs. The last time he took the mound, Civale gave up four earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Dodgers. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up just one earned run in three straight starts. Civale has not taken a loss in his last three outings.

Christian Yelich has been red hot for the Brewers of late, going 9/23 with three homers in his last seven games. For the season, he is batting .335 with a team-high 11 home runs. Yelich also has the team’s best on-base percentage at .417. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead in homers, with 14 apiece.

As a team, the Brewers are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s top on-base percentage team and are also near the top of the league in terms of team batting average.