Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 7/5/24
The Phillies and Braves are set to face off in an NL East matchup at 7:20 PM ET at Truist Park in Atlanta. The forecast for Friday’s game calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid-90s. Aaron Nola is starting for the Phillies, and he is facing off against Max Fried for the Braves.
Philadelphia is 57-30 this season, while the Braves are 47-38. The Phillies are currently in 1st place in the NL East, while the Braves are 2nd. Max Fried and the Braves are favored on the money line, with the Phillies being the slight underdog at +123. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and APLTV will be televising Friday’s game.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -144
This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Friday, July 5th.
HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS BRAVES:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Phillies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia closed out their series vs. the Cubs with a 10-2 loss. Heading into the game, the Phillies were the slight favorite at -125 on the money line. Things started off well for the Phillies, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Cubs scored five times in the 2nd.
Cristopher Sánchez got the start for the Phillies and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up seven earned runs. The Phillies also issued three walks and hit a batter. Nick Castellanos had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring two runs.
Philadelphia is on the road to take on the Braves with an overall record of 57-30, which has them leading the NL East by nine games. The Phillies are 14-8 against other teams in the NL East and have won two straight series vs. the Marlins and Cubs. Their overall series record is 18-7-5 this year.
So far, the Phillies have been really good as the favorite, going 50-24, and they are 7-6 as the underdog. At home, the Phillies have gone 33-14 compared to 24-16 on the road. This season, they have been really good in night games, going 37-15.
Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this season, going 46-41 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 22-18. They have been a favorite in most games, going 39-35 on the run line. Their average run differential is +1.3 runs per game.
The Phillies are on the road today against the Braves, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. Their combined run average is 8.6, and their over/under record is 39-43. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 7-10. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and they have gone over the line in four straight games.
Right-hander Aaron Nola is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves on the road. Nola has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 9-4 with a 3.43 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.04 and has pitched one shutout this year. Nola’s most recent outing came on June 29th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Nola’s ERA at home is 4.08 compared to 4.33 on the road.
Philadelphia’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 5th in runs per game and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .331 is also 3rd in the MLB. The Phillies have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.
Bryce Harper has been one of the top power hitters in the league this season, as his 20 homers are 6th in the league. He is also hitting .303 for the season and has driven in 58 runs. Alec Bohm has been the Phillies most consistent run producer, as his 70 RBIs are 3rd in the league, and he is batting .296 for the season.
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 4-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Giants scored three runs in the top of the 4th. Atlanta was the -128 favorite at home going into the game.
Charlie Morton took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. He also issued two walks and hit a batter. The Braves’s offense scored their only two runs in thejson 1st inning. Ozzie Albies went 2/4 with a double, run scored, and a stolen base.
Heading into today’s game vs. the Phillies, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, nine games behind the Phillies. The Braves are 47-38 overall and have gone 12-11 against other teams in the NL East. This year, they are 44-32 as the favorite but just 3-6 as the underdog.
At home, the Braves are 27-16 this year, and they have gone 20-22 on the road. The Braves have an overall series record of 16-11-2, but they lost their most recent series vs. the Giants. Atlanta is 4-6 across their last ten games.
When betting the run line in Atlanta Braves games, it’s been a coin flip this season. They are 40-45 against the run line, including 19-24 at home. Their average run differential is +0.6 runs per game, and they are 35-41 against the run line as the favorite. The average run differential in their wins is +3.7 runs per game, while it’s -3.2 runs per game in their losses.
The Atlanta Braves are hosting the Philadelphia Phillies today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Braves have an over/under record of 29-52 this season, and their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 4-10. Overall, 78.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Max Fried will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Pirates, he finished with a no-decision. Looking back over his last four outings, Fried has finished with a no-decision in three of them. Fried has a record of 7-3 this season and an ERA of 2.91. Opponents are batting .211 vs. Fried this season. He has made two complete games and has one shutout. For the year, Fried has nine quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.87 strikeouts and 2.81 walks.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, coming in with a batting average of .296 and a league-leading 67 RBIs. Ozuna also has 21 homers, which is 5th best in the MLB. Matt Olson is also a power threat for the Braves, as he has gone deep 12 times this season, which is 2nd on the team and 14th in the league. Olson is batting just .241 this season.
Atlanta’s offense has been pretty consistent this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game both at home and on the road. Overall, they are 16th in the league in scoring. The Braves come into the game with a few players on hitting streaks, including Ozzie Albies at seven games and Michael Harris II at five. Austin Riley has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/36 with three homers over his last 10 games.