Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 7/5/24
First pitch for Friday’s Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup is set for 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. The forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 90s. Boston is 47-39 overall and they are 3rd in the AL East, while the Yankees are 2nd in the division at 54-35.
New York is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -141 compared to the Red Sox at +120. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and NESN will be televising Friday’s game. Tanner Houck is starting for the Red Sox, while the Yankees are going with Nestor Cortes.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -141
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Friday, July 5th.
HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS YANKEES:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Red Sox Records & Stats
The Red Sox’s most recent game was a 6-5 win over the Marlins to close out their series. Boston was the heavy favorite going into the game and needed extra innings to pick up the win. The Red Sox scored a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Marlins scored one in the bottom of the first.
Boston’s offense was carried by Tyler O’Neill, who went 3/5 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Red Sox also got a big game from Nick Pivetta, who started for the Red Sox, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out 10 Marlins batters.
Boston is on a four-game winning streak, and they will be looking to keep it going as they are 3rd in the AL East, 7.5 games behind the Orioles. So far, they are 11-10 in the AL East and have an overall record of 47-39.
On the road, the Red Sox are 27-16 compared to 20-23 at home. Boston has won five straight as the road underdog, and their overall record as the underdog is 21-21. As for their series record, the Red Sox have gone 13-10-5 this year, and they have won three straight series on the road.
When betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road this season. Their overall run line record is 40-46, but they are 25-18 on the run line when playing away from Fenway Park. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -4.0.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the New York Yankees. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Red Sox have played in 81 games this season, with an average of 8.9 runs scored per game. Their over/under record for the season is 42-39, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-11. Over the last three games, the Red Sox have gone over the total.
Right-hander Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees on the road. This year, he has made 17 starts and has a record of 7-6 with a 2.67 ERA. Houck’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.02. In his 17 starts, he has one complete game shutout and 13 quality starts. Per nine innings, Houck is averaging 8.78 strikeouts and just 1.59 walks. Looking back at his last outing, Houck took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss.
For the season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 7th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in slugging percentage and OPS. Boston has been one of the best teams in terms of making contact, as they have the league’s best BABIP and are 27th in strikeouts.
Rafael Devers has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 18 homers are 8th in the league and the most on the Red Sox. Devers has also been hot of late, going 14/37 in his last 10 games with four homers and 13 RBIs. Tyler O’Neill has the 2nd most homers on the team (16) and is also batting a solid .269.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with an 8-4 loss. New York was the heavy favorite at -182 at home going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Reds scored three times in the 2nd.
Marcus Stroman had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on five hits and issuing two walks. The Yankees also had three errors in the loss and only scored two runs after the 3rd inning. Juan Soto hit a homer for the Yankees but went just 1/3. Austin Wells had the other big hit for the Yankees, going 1/4 with a homer.
The Yankees are hosting the Red Sox today with an overall record of 54-35, which has them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles for the division lead. New York heads into today’s game having dropped three straight games, and they were swept by the Reds in their most recent series. So far, they are just 12-14 in AL East matchups this year.
At home, the Yankees are 24-17 this year, and they have been really good on the road, going 30-18. So far, they have been good as the underdog, going 12-6, and they are 42-29 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Yankees are 17-8-3 and have dropped four straight series at home.
When the Yankees are favored, they are just 34-37 vs. the run line, but they are 14-4 when they are the underdog. Their overall run line record is 48-41, and their average run differential is +1.1 runs per game. They have gone 20-21 vs. the run line at home, and their average run differential at home is +0.7 runs per game. They have gone 28-20 vs. the run line on the road, and their average run differential on the road is +1.4 runs per game. They have failed to cover the run line in their last four home games.
Today’s over/under line for the Yankees-Red Sox game is set at 8.5 runs, which is below the teams’ combined average of 9.0 runs per game. The Yankees have a 47-40 over/under record on the season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, the Yankees have gone over the total in 23 of 38 games (60.5%).
New York is sending Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Red Sox, and he comes into the game with a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 3.51. Cortes has made 18 starts this year, and opponents are batting .236 off the left-hander. In his 18 appearances, Cortes has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Cortes took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. New York’s offense has been great in terms of power, as they are 2nd in home runs and have the 3rd best isolated power mark in the MLB. The Yankees are also the league’s top home run-hitting team.
Not only does Aaron Judge lead the Yankees with 32 homers, but his 83 RBIs are also the best in the league. He is batting .314 for the season and has gone 7/18 with two homers over his last five games. Juan Soto is also having a strong season, batting .300 with 21 homers and 63 RBIs.