Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/29/24
There is a chance for light rain in St. Louis on Saturday, where the forecasted temperature is 78 degrees. The Reds and Cardinals are playing at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Reds are 4th in the NL Central with a record of 38-44, while the Cardinals are 42-39.
Carson Spiers is starting for the Reds, and they are the underdog on the money line (+157). Sonny Gray will go for the Cardinals, who are the heavy favorite at -188. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSMW will be televising this NL Central matchup.
CINCINNATI REDS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8 Runs
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 2:15 ET on Saturday, June 29th.
HOW TO BET THE REDS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
St. Louis picked up a 1-0 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had just four hits in the game but still picked up the win thanks to a good outing from Andre Pallante, who went 5 1/3 innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks.
On the other side, Frankie Montas got the start for the Reds and gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks. Cincinnati’s bullpen was solid, as they didn’t give up a run in three innings of work.
Jonathan India was the only Reds hitter to have more than one hit in the game. He went 2/3 with a double. As for the Cardinals, their lone run came in the 3rd inning, and they didn’t have another hit after the 5th.
Reds Records & Stats
Cincinnati is 38-44 overall and 4th in the NL Central heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Cardinals. They are 11.0 games behind the Brewers for the division lead and trail the Pirates by 1.5 games for 3rd place in the division. The Reds are 4-6 over their last 10 games and are looking to take the series lead over the Cardinals today.
The Reds have dropped four straight series and have an overall series record of 8-16-2 this year. Cincinnati is 20-23 at home compared to an 18-21 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 18-28 this year and 20-16 when favored.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 44-38 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 26-13. Their average run margin for the season is just 0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored at home by 0.3 runs per game. In their wins, they have outscored opponents by an average of 3.7 runs per game, while they have been outscored by an average of 2.9 runs per game in their losses. They have covered the run line in their last three road games and have covered the run line in five straight games as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Reds-Cardinals game is a bit lower than Cincinnati’s average over/under line of 9 runs. The Reds have played in 55 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 67.1% of their games this season. Their over/under record is 35-44, and their games have averaged a combined 8.4 runs per game.
Right-hander Carson Spiers is starting for the Reds today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. He has made two starts and seven appearances this season and has a record of 1-1 with a 3.45 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .262 off Spiers this season. In his 31 1/3 innings of work, Spiers has issued just 1.72 walks per nine innings compared to 7.18 strikeouts. Spiers’ most recent outing came on June 24th, where he picked up the win after going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He has allowed one homer in three straight outings.
Elly De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Reds this season, as he is batting .252 with a team-high 14 homers and 36 RBIs. He has also been hot of late, going 13/38 in his last nine games with two homers. Jeimer Candelario is also tied for the team lead with 14 homers but has struggled of late, hitting just .174 in his last six games.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 16th in the league in scoring. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. The team’s home run total of 79 is 17th in the league, and they are batting just .229 for the season.
Cardinals Records & Stats
The Cardinals are 42-39 overall and trail the Brewers by 6.5 games in the NL Central. St. Louis is 10-10 in divisional matchups this year. So far, they have been good at home, going 23-17, and they are just under .500 at 19-22 on the road.
St. Louis has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 14-11-1 this year. The team has been good as the favorite this year, putting up a mark of 21-18. When coming in as the home favorite, the Cardinals are 15-12. They will be looking to take the series from the Reds today, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
St. Louis is a team that has been a solid play on the run line this season, going 41-40 overall. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 23-17 on the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 26-16 on the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 26-16 on the run line. Their average run differential in wins is +2.4, while their average run differential in losses is -3.5.
St. Louis has a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 35-43. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-9-1. Overall, 53.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Sonny Gray gets the start for the Cardinals today and comes in with a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 2.81. Looking at his overall numbers, Gray has made 14 starts, and opponents are batting .181 this season. In his last outing, Gray picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run on one hit. Looking back over his last three outings, Gray has allowed just one earned run in each start. Gray’s ERA at home is 1.6, compared to 4.89 on the road. He has a record of 6-2 at home.
For the season, the Cardinals are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .239 and have the 18th most home runs in the league. One bright spot for the Cardinals is that they have the 9th best BABIP in the league.
Over his last six games, Brendan Donovan has gone 8/22, and for the season, he is batting .269 and is the team’s leader in RBIs. Alec Burleson is 2nd on the team in RBIs and has gone deep 12 times this season, which is 2nd on the team and 14th in the league. Nolan Gorman has really struggled with his batting average this season (.188), but his 16 homers are the most on the team.