New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 6/28/24
At 7:07 PM ET, the Yankees and Blue Jays face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Yankees are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -120 compared to the Blue Jays at +102. The over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
The Blue Jays will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive, as they are 37-43 this season, while the Yankees are 52-31 but have lost four in a row.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -120
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Friday, June 28th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Toronto cruised to a 9-2 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were at +112 on the money line.
Jose Berrios pitched well for the Blue Jays in this one, going seven innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts and picked up a win. On the other side, Carlos Rodon had a rough outing for the Yankees, giving up eight earned runs in five innings of work.
George Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. each homered for the Blue Jays. Springer, Guerrero, and Trent Grisham each had two RBIs. Grisham scored the Yankees’ only run.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees are 52-31 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the AL East, tied with the Orioles. New York has dropped four straight games, and they lost the first game of this series vs. the Blue Jays. Currently, they are 7.5 games behind the Red Sox for the division lead.
New York has really struggled over the last two weeks, going just 2-8 over their last ten games. As the favorite, the Yankees are 40-25 this year and 12-6 as the underdog. On the road, they are 17-13 when favored. This season, the Yankees are 24-14 at home.
When the Yankees are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 26-19. However, they have lost their last five games against the run line on the road. They have been better against the run line as the underdog, going 14-4, compared to 32-33 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8, while it is -3.5 in losing games.
The Yankees are on the road in Toronto today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Yankees games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 42-39. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 21-14, and 22.9% of their games have had higher lines than that. Their over streak is at three games.
Marcus Stroman gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 7-3 with a 3.15 ERA. Stroman’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26, and opponents are batting .217 off the right-hander this year. In his last outing, Stroman picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Stroman has been much better on the road, coming in with a 5-1 record and 2.60 ERA compared to 2-2 with a 4.40 ERA at home.
So far this season, the Yankees have been one of the best offensive teams in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game (5th) and are 2nd in the league in home runs. They are also leading the league in walks and have a team on-base percentage of .330. New York has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game.
Aaron Judge has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, leading the MLB with 30 home runs. He is also batting .304 for the season and has gone deep three times in his last six games. Juan Soto is 2nd on the team with 19 homers and is batting .300 for the season. Giancarlo Stanton comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
The Blue Jays are 37-43 overall and trail the Orioles by 13.5 games in the AL East. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division, two games behind the Rays for 4th place. Toronto has won two straight games, taking the series opener vs. the Yankees.
So far, the Blue Jays are just 1-6 as home underdogs this year, and they are 8-23 overall when listed as the underdog. As the favorite, Toronto is 29-20 this year. At home, they are an even 19-19 compared to an 18-24 mark on the road. Heading into today’s game, the Blue Jays have an overall series record of 8-12-5.
When it comes to the run line, the Blue Jays have been a better bet on the road this season, going 24-18 compared to 14-24 at home. They have been a solid underdog play, going 15-16 against the run line in those games. The Jays have been a bit better than average in terms of run differential, with an average run margin of -0.5 runs per game. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it’s -3.7 in losses.
The Blue Jays have been trending towards the over as of late, with the over hitting in four straight games. Their over/under record for the season is 36-41, and their combined run average is 8.5, which is right in line with today’s O/U line of 8.5. When the line has been set at 8.5, the over has hit in 10 of their 25 games, but the average line for their games this season has been 8 runs.
Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today vs. the Yankees and comes into the game with a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 4.00. Kikuchi has made 16 starts this season and has pitched well at home, going 2-5 with a 4.43 ERA. In comparison, he is 2-2 with a 5.73 ERA on the road. Kikuchi’s last outing came vs. the Guardians, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in two innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has allowed 11 home runs.
So far, the Blue Jays offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the MLB. Their home and road splits are very similar, with the team averaging 3.9 runs per game at home and 4.1 on the road. As a team, they are batting just .235 and have the 18th most home runs in the league.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a bright spot for the Blue Jays, as he is batting .289 for the season and has gone 9/23 in his last five games, including three homers. He also has a team-high 42 RBIs and 11 homers. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both players are batting below .230 for the season.