Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 6/26/24
Wednesday’s matchup between the Nationals and Padres has a first pitch set for 4:10 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego, CA. The Padres are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -191 compared to the Nationals at +160. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
Washington comes in with a record of 38-41 and they are 4th in the NL East. The Padres are 2nd in the NL West with an overall record of 43-41 and are on a two-game winning streak. Dylan Cease will start for the Padres, while the Nationals are sending DJ Herz to the mound.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Wednesday, June 26th.
HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
San Diego picked up a 9-7 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Nationals got on the board with four runs in the 3rd and added their final three runs in the 5th.
Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado each homered for the Padres, while Donovan Solano went 2/4 with two RBIs. Adam Mazur got the win out of the bullpen, and Robert Suarez got the save. MacKenzie Gore had a rough outing for the Nationals, taking the loss.
At the plate, Jesse Winker hit a home run for the Nationals and went 1/4 with two RBIs. CJ Abrams had a three-hit game and scored a run for Washington.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is on the road today, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they have dropped the first two games of their series vs. the Padres. Overall, the Nationals are 38-41, which has them 4th in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 14 games in the division.
At home, the Nationals are 17-19 this year, and they have gone 21-22 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 15 games, going 8-7 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Nationals are 30-34 this year. Washington’s overall series record is 11-13-1, and they have won two straight series on the road.
The Nationals are 47-32 against the run line this season, including a 27-16 record on the road. Their average run margin is -0.2 runs per game, and they have a losing run line streak of one game on the road. As the underdog, they are 40-24 against the run line, and their average run margin in losing games is -3.4 runs per game.
Washington’s over/under record is 36-40, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 10 of their 17 games. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and the over has hit in two straight games.
After a win in his last start, DJ Herz will be on the mound for the Nationals as they take on the Padres in San Diego. Herz was dominant in his last outing, striking out 13 Marlins hitters in 6 innings. He has yet to allow an earned run this season, and in his first start of the year, he went 3 2/3 innings and gave up 4 runs to the Rockies.
Over his last seven games, CJ Abrams has been on fire for the Nationals, going 15/29 with eight runs scored and four RBIs. Abrams is batting .283 for the season and leads the team with 40 RBIs and 12 homers, which is 13th in the league. Joey Meneses is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as he is 1st on the team and 7th in the league with 41 RBIs.
As a team, the Nationals are 19th in the league in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in team OPS and isolated power. Overall, they are batting just .237 and are 21st in the league in home runs.
Padres Records & Stats
San Diego is 43-41 overall as they get set to host the Nationals today. The Padres are 2nd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 8.5 games. This season, the Padres have gone 14-15 in divisional games.
The Padres have won two straight games, and they have taken a 2-0 series lead over the Nationals. At home, the Padres are 23-22 this year and 20-19 on the road. As the favorite, the Padres are 27-24, and they are 16-17 as the underdog.
When betting the run line, the Padres have been a much better bet on the road than at home. They are 27-12 against the run line on the road, compared to just 16-29 at home. They have an overall run line record of 43-41, with an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 23-10, compared to 20-31 as the favorite.
San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 44 of 83 games this season, and they’ve gone over in 14 of 27 games when the O/U line has been set at 7.5 runs. The Padres’ games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and they’ve gone over the total in six straight games.
Right-hander Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Nationals at home. Cease has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with an ERA of 4.14. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has a WHIP of 1.11 and opponents are batting .213 this season. Cease’s last outing came against the Brewers, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs, 10 hits, and two homers. Cease has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
Over the past 10 games, Manny Machado has been on fire for the Padres, going 14/38 (.368) with two homers and eight RBIs. Jake Cronenworth and Jurickson Profar have also been swinging the bat well, as Cronenworth has gone deep three times in his last 10 games and Profar has a nine-game hitting streak going. For the season, Profar is batting .317 and is 8th in the league with 54 RBIs.
As a team, the Padres are 2nd in the league in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 9th best slugging percentage.