Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 6/25/24
Kevin Gausman will start for the Blue Jays on Tuesday, as they are on the road to face the Red Sox at Fenway Park in Boston. The Red Sox are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -117 compared to the Blue Jays at -104. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
First pitch for this AL East matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET, and the game will be televised on SNET. Boston comes in with a record of 43-36, while the Blue Jays are 35-43 overall. Brayan Bello is slated to start for the Red Sox.
BOSTON RED SOX VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -117
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Tuesday, June 25th.
HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS RED SOX:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Red Sox to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Boston picked up a 7-6 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 8th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored five of their six runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -164 on the money line.
Tanner Houck got the start for the Red Sox, going just 6 2/3 innings while giving up two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. Kenley Jansen came out of the bullpen for the win, and Zach Pop got the loss for Toronto.
Rafael Devers and David Hamilton each homered for the Red Sox, while Jarren Duran scored twice and drove in two runs while going 3/5. Masataka Yoshida also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is 35-43 overall and is looking to snap a seven-game losing streak today on the road vs. the Red Sox. The Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 16 games. So far, they are 9-14 in divisional games.
At home, the Blue Jays are 18-19 this year and 17-24 on the road. This season, they have gone 29-20 as the favorite but are just 6-23 as the underdog. Toronto’s series record is 9-12-4 this year, and they have dropped two straight series.
When the Blue Jays are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 23-18. Their average run margin on the road is -0.5, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.1.
The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The Blue Jays have a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season and have an over/under record of 34-41. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have a record of 2-3-2. Only 1.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their last two games have gone over the total.
The Blue Jays are sending right-hander Kevin Gausman to the mound today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Gausman has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 4.24. In his last outing, he gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win and a shutout against the Athletics. Gausman has one complete game and one shutout this season. His ERA at home is 7.53 compared to 5.55 on the road.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 3.8 runs per game. As a team, the Blue Jays are batting .233, which is 16th in the league. Toronto’s offense has been led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is batting .286 for the season and has gone 8/22 with three homers over his last five games.
Guerrero Jr. is also the team leader in RBIs, while Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are right behind him in homers and RBIs. Varsho and Schneider are batting just .207 and .221, respectively, for the season. Defensively, the Blue Jays have been very good at avoiding strikeouts, but they are near the bottom of the league in home runs.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston is hosting the Blue Jays today with an overall record of 43-36, and they are 3rd in the AL East, 8.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Red Sox have won three straight games, and they have gone 8-2 over their last 10 games. So far, they are 11-9 in AL East matchups.
As the home team, the Red Sox are 19-20 this year and 24-16 on the road. Boston has been good as the underdog this year, with an overall record of 21-21. Their win streak as the underdog is currently at five games. The Red Sox’ overall series record is 12-9-4, and they have won four straight series overall.
The Red Sox have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 37-42 overall. They have been especially strong on the run line on the road, where they are 23-17. Boston has been an underdog in 42 games this season, going 25-17 on the run line. The Red Sox have been a run line underdog in five straight games, and their average run margin in winning games is +4.3.
The Red Sox are at home today against the Blue Jays, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The combined run average in Red Sox games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 36-38. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, but when the line is set at 9 runs, the over/under record is 5-2-2. So far this season, 15.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their over streak is at 2 games.
Brayan Bello will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Blue Jays. In that outing, which came on June 19th, he went six innings and gave up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Bello has made 13 starts, and his record for the season is 7-4. The right-hander’s ERA is 4.83, along with a WHIP of 1.41. Bello has a batting average allowed of .254 and has issued 3.39 walks per nine innings compared to 8.09 strikeouts.
So far this season, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .255, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB. One of the reasons they have been so good offensively is their league-leading team BABIP of .32.
Over his last 10 games, Jarren Duran has gone 19/45 with two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .293 with seven homers. Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill are tied for the team lead in homers, with 15 apiece. Devers is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 41.