Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 6/24/24

At 7:45 PM from Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have an NL matchup between the Braves and Cardinals. The money line odds have the Braves at -123 compared to the Cardinals at +104. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Spencer Schwellenbach is starting for the Braves, and they are 43-32, which has them in 2nd place in the NL East. The Cardinals are 39-37 and will be looking to extend their three-game winning streak. Lance Lynn will start for the Cardinals. The game can be seen on BSSO.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -123
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 7:45 ET on Monday, June 24th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves’s offense was carried by Jarred Kelenic in their most recent game vs. the Yankees. Kelenic went 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs. The Braves really only had one big inning, which was the 3rd, when they scored their other two runs. Atlanta was the slight underdog on the money line going into the game.
Max Fried started for the Braves, going six innings and giving up just one run on six hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
With a record of 43-32, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves will be on the road today to take on the Cardinals, and they are 12-11 in divisional games this year. Atlanta won the final two games of their series vs. the Yankees and are 8-2 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Braves have gone 24-13 this season, and they are just above .500 at 19-19 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 40-26 this year, and they are 16-13 when favored on the road. So far, they have gone 3-6 as the underdog.
Atlanta has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 20-18, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. They have an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game on the road, and their overall run line record is 37-38. They have been a better run line bet at home this season, going 17-20, but their average run margin is slightly lower at +0.6 runs per game.
The Braves have played in 31 games this season with over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs, and they are 8-15 in those games. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the season is 28-44. The average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs.
Spencer Schwellenbach will be making his 4th start of the season for the Braves, and it will be his first road start. In his last outing, he picked up a win vs. the Tigers, going 6 innings and allowing just 1 earned run. He has 14 strikeouts in 16 innings this season, and his first start of the year was a loss to the Red Sox.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 21 home runs are 4th in the league and the best mark on the Braves. He also comes into the game with a strong batting average of .314. Ozuna has been even better of late, going 7/25 in his last six games with two homers. The Braves will also be looking for Ozzie Albies to keep swinging a hot bat, as he is 7/25 in his last six games with two homers.
As a team, the Braves are 10th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. Overall, their team batting average of .245 is 12th in the league. The Braves have been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are 17th in the league in this category.
Cardinals Records & Stats
The Cardinals’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Giants, closing out their series with a 5-3 win. After allowing one run to the Giants in the top of the first, the Cardinals responded with three runs of their own. St. Louis went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Sonny Gray put together a good start for the Cardinals, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. St. Louis’s offense was carried by Alec Burleson, who went 2/4 with two RBIs.
St. Louis is currently five games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, and they are 39-37 overall. The Cardinals will be hosting the Braves today, and they come in having won three straight games. Their three-game winning streak has come at home, where they are 20-15 this season.
So far, the Cardinals are an even 9-9 in divisional matchups. As the underdog, St. Louis has won two straight games, and they are 19-20 as the underdog overall. As for their record as the favorite, the Cardinals are 20-17 this year. They have an overall series record of 13-11-1.
The Cardinals are currently 39-37 against the run line this season, including a 21-14 mark at home. They have been the underdog in 39 games and have covered the run line in 24 of those contests. Their average run differential in wins is +2.4, while it drops to -3.4 in losses.
St. Louis has seen the over hit in 15 of their 24 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season. The over is also on a three-game streak for the Cardinals, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season. Overall, the over has hit in 33 of their 73 games this season.
St. Louis is sending Lance Lynn to the mound today, and he has made 15 starts this season. Lynn’s record is 2-3, and he has an ERA of 4.08. One issue for Lynn has been the home run ball, as he has allowed nine homers this year. Looking back at his last outing, Lynn finished with a no-decision after giving up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Lynn’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.43.
St. Louis will be looking for Brendan Donovan and Alec Burleson to continue their strong play, as both players have three homers over their past nine games, with Burleson hitting .353 in that stretch and Donovan coming in at .351. Donovan leads the team with 38 RBIs, while Burleson is 3rd on the team at 32 RBIs and has gone deep 12 times this season, which is the 2nd best mark on the team.
As a team, the Cardinals are averaging 4 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league, and are batting .239, which is 14th in the MLB. They have been better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game, compared to 3.8 on the road. St. Louis comes into the game with a collective on-base percentage of .306 and a slugging percentage of .381.