Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 6/24/24
The Red Sox will be looking to continue their two-game winning streak when they host the Blue Jays at Fenway Park in Boston. However, they come into the game as the slight money line favorite, with the Blue Jays being offered at +120 on the money line. Tonight’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
First pitch for this AL East matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET, and the forecast for Monday’s game in Boston calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the low 80s. Chris Bassitt is starting for the Blue Jays, and the Red Sox are going with Tanner Houck. Toronto is 5th in the AL East, and the Red Sox are 3rd overall.
BOSTON RED SOX VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -145
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Monday, June 24th.
HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS RED SOX:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Blue Jays Records & Stats
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Guardians scored two runs in the bottom of the 9th. Toronto was the -104 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Offensively, the Blue Jays were carried by Spencer Horwitz, who went 2/3 with two homers and three RBIs. However, the Blue Jays wasted a big game from Horwersitz, as they couldn’t close things out. Yusei Kikuchi got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss. He only lasted two innings, giving up four earned runs. The Blue Jays also issued three walks in the 9th inning.
Toronto is on the road today vs. the Red Sox, having lost six straight games, and they are 15.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Blue Jays are 35-42 overall and are 5th in the AL East. So far, they are 9-13 in divisional games.
At home, the Blue Jays are 18-19 this year and 17-23 on the road. This season, they are just 6-22 as the underdog, and their overall series record is 9-12-4. Toronto’s series losing streak is at two games right now, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Guardians.
When the Blue Jays are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 22-18. Their average run differential in those games is -0.4, and they have been outscored by an average of 0.6 runs per game overall. They have been a better bet to cover the run line as the underdog, going 12-16, compared to 23-26 as the favorite.
When the Toronto Blue Jays are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their season average of 8.3 runs per game. Overall, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of 33-41, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the Blue Jays have gone over the total in 8 of 23 games.
Chris Bassitt is looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Red Sox on June 18th, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, six hits, and two homers. Looking back over his last three outings, Bassitt has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.52 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .257 off the right-hander this season. Bassitt’s ERA at home is 5.51 compared to 3.26 on the road.
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense has really struggled, as they are averaging just 3.8 runs per game (27th) and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and batting average. One thing they have done well is avoid striking out, as they are 3rd in the league in fewest strikeouts. As a team, they are batting just .232, which is 18th in the league.
Currently, Davis Schneider and Daulton Varsho are 2nd and 3rd on the team in home runs, but both have struggled in terms of batting average, with Schneider hitting .225 and Varsho at .207. Varsho does come into the game on a two-game hitting streak. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .279 this season and has gone deep nine times.
Red Sox Records & Stats
The Red Sox’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Reds, closing out their series with a 7-4 win. After allowing one run to the Reds in the bottom of the first, the Red Sox responded with four runs of their own. Boston went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.
Zack Kelly got the start for the Red Sox, going 2 2/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out three. Rob Refsnyder was only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and the Red Sox scored three runs in the 4th.
Boston is 3rd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by nine games. Overall, the Red Sox are 42-36 as they get set to host the Blue Jays today. The Red Sox have won two straight games, and they are 8-2 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Red Sox are 18-20 this season compared to 24-16 on the road. So far, they have gone 21-15 as the favorite and an even 21-21 as the underdog. Boston’s series record is 12-9-4 this year, and they have won four straight series.
When it comes to betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s been a mixed bag. Boston is 37-41 overall, but they’ve been much better on the road (23-17) than at home (14-24). They’ve covered the run line in two straight games at Fenway Park, but as the favorite, they’re just 12-24 against the run line.
When the Red Sox are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. Boston’s over/under record is 35-38, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 13-11. This season, 26.9% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, while 42.3% have had lines set lower than 8.5 runs.
Tanner Houck has been tough to hit this year, coming into the game with an ERA of 2.14. He has made 15 appearances and 15 starts this year, finishing with a record of 7-5. Houck has one complete game shutout and 12 quality starts this year. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The right-hander has been especially tough on the road, with an ERA of 1.89 compared to 2.55 at home.
Boston comes into today’s game as one of the top-scoring teams in the league, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, the Red Sox are 6th in team batting average at .254 and have the league’s best BABIP at .32. Boston also has the 5th best on-base percentage in the league and have done a good job of limiting strikeouts.
Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have been swinging hot bats of late, with Duran going 13/32 in his last seven games, and O’Neill is 7/21 with three homers in his last six games. Duran is also on a 13 game hitting streak. For the season, O’Neill is the team’s leader in homers, while Rafael Devers is 2nd on the team with 14 homers and has driven in 39 runs.