Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 6/22/24

Carlos Rodriguez is starting for the Brewers on Saturday, and he is facing off against Randy Vasquez for the Padres. Milwaukee is currently on a two-game losing streak, and their record of 44-32 has them in 1st place in the NL Central. The Padres are favored on the money line (-114) and have won three straight, putting them 3rd in the NL West. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

FOX will be televising this NL matchup, with the first pitch from PETCO Park being set for 7:15 PM ET.

SAN DIEGO PADRES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -114

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 7:15 ET on Saturday, June 22nd.

HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS PADRES:

• We have the Padres winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Padres to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

San Diego cruised to a 9-5 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their five runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -159 on the money line.

Dylan Cease got the start for the Padres, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out 10. He did not factor into the decision, as Stephen Kolek got the win out of the bullpen. Hoby Milner took the loss for the Brewers out of the bullpen.

Jake Cronenworth and Manny Machado each had four RBIs for the Padres’ offense. Cronenworth, Jackson Merrill, and Donovan Solano each had two hits and two RBIs while scoring a run.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is on the road today for the third game of their series vs. the Padres. So far, they have dropped the first two games of the series, and they are 44-32 overall, leading the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. This season, they have gone 18-9 in divisional games.

At home, the Brewers have gone 22-12 this year, and they are just above .500 on the road at 22-20. Milwaukee is currently on a two-game losing streak, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games. As the favorite, the Brewers are 25-14 this year and 19-18 as the underdog.

When the Brewers are on the road, they cover the run line at a 24-18 clip, including a current two-game run. They have covered the run line in 24 of 37 games as the underdog, but are just 15-24 against the run line as the favorite. Their average run differential on the road is +0.7 runs per game.

Oddsmakers have set the over/under line at 9 runs for the Milwaukee Brewers’ road game against the San Diego Padres today. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 40-33. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 2-3-2. This season, only 6.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with 84.2% of their games having lower lines. The over has hit in each of their last two games.

Carlos Rodriguez will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Brewers, and it will be his 2nd road start. He is coming off a loss to the Angels in his last start, where he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up 5 runs, 4 of which were earned. Rodriguez has 10 strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings this season.

William Contreras has been a big surprise for the Brewers this season, as he is batting .298 and has 9 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Willy Adames has been a consistent power threat for the Brewers, as his 13 homers are the most on the team and 11th in the league. Adames is also on a three-game hitting streak and has two homers in his last six games.

As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .253 (6th) and are one of the best teams in the league at drawing walks.

Padres Records & Stats

After winning the first two games of their series vs. the Brewers, the Padres have evened their record at 40-40. The Padres are eight games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead and are in 3rd place in the division. So far, they have gone 14-15 in divisional games.

At home, the Padres have gone 20-21 this season and are just above .500 at 20-19 on the road. As the favorite, San Diego is 26-23 this year and 14-17 as the underdog. The Padres have won five straight at home, and their overall series record is 13-10-3. San Diego’s overall series record is helping them, as they are at an even .500 mark for the year.

San Diego has a run line record of 41-39 this season, and they have been a profitable team to back on the run line, especially on the road, where they are 27-12. The Padres have an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game this season, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.7 runs per game.

The Padres have seen their games go over the total in 40 of their 79 games this season, and the over has hit in two straight games. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and the over/under line for their games this season has been set at an average of 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the over is just 1-3 in those games. This season, only 11.2% of their games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs or higher.

Randy Vásquez is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, as he gets the start for the Padres today. In that June 17th start, he gave up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Vásquez took the loss in that outing. Looking back further, he has made nine starts and two of them have been quality starts. Vásquez’s ERA for the season is 5.70, along with a record of 1-4. Opposing batters are hitting .332 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, Vásquez is averaging 5.91 strikeouts and just 1.9 walks.

San Diego’s offense comes into today’s game as one of the top hitting teams in the league, with a team batting average of .260, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. They have also been hitting for power this season, as their 85 homers is the 7th best mark in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is right in the middle of the pack. At home, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game, compared to 4.7 on the road.

Jake Cronenworth has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/22 in his last five games with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .266 with 12 homers and 49 RBIs. Manny Machado has also been hot, going 11/24 in his last six games and is currently on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, Machado is batting .275 with 10 homers and 39 RBIs.