New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 6/22/24
Both the Mets and Cubs will be looking to pick up a win today, as they face off at 2:20 ET at Wrigley Field in Chicago. However, the forecast doesn’t look great in Chicago, as there figures to be overcast skies and temperatures in the mid-70s.
New York is -101 on the money line compared to the Cubs at -118, and the over/under line is sitting at 12 runs. SNY will be televising this NL matchup, and Tylor Megill is starting for the Mets, while the Cubs are going with Jameson Taillon. Both teams have an overall record of 36-40.
NEW YORK METS VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -101
This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 2:20 ET on Saturday, June 22nd.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS CUBS:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
It was all Mets in the last game of this series, as New York took down the Cubs by a score of 11-1. The Mets offense only had three more hits than the Cubs and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +129 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Jose Quintana for the Mets and Shota Imanaga for the Cubs. Quintana went just 6 1/3 innings but didn’t give up a run and finished with eight strikeouts. On the other side, Imanaga was tagged for 10 runs in just three innings of work.
New York’s two, three, and four hitters did the most damage, as J.D. Martinez, Brandon Nimmo, and Francisco Alvarez each homered and combined for nine RBIs. Martinez and Jose Iglesias each had four hits for the Mets’ offense.
Mets Records & Stats
With an overall record of 36-38, the Mets are 4th in the NL East, 12.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone 11-10 in divisional matchups. The Mets have taken two straight games and are 8-2 over their last 10.
At home, the Mets are 18-23 this year, and they have gone 18-15 on the road. So far, they have been slightly better than .500 both as the favorite and as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 11-12-3, and they have won four straight series overall and three straight on the road.
When betting the Mets on the run line this season, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road than at home. Overall, they are 34-40 against the run line, but they are 20-13 on the road. They are 13-25 against the run line as the favorite and 21-15 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.3, while it’s -3.1 in their losses.
In the Mets’ 74 games with over/under lines this season, the average line has been set at 8 runs, but today’s line is set at 12 runs. The Mets have played in 38 games that have gone over the total and 34 games that have gone under. This season, the Mets have combined with their opponents to score an average of 9.4 runs per game.
Tylor Megill is coming off a solid outing for the Mets, as he got the win vs. the Padres on June 16th. In that start, he went 5 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Megill has made six starts and has a record of 2-3. His ERA for the season is 3.52, along with a WHIP of 1.30. Opposing batters are hitting .218 off Megill this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.86 strikeouts and 3.82 walks. Megill has made one quality start this year.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is good for 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.9 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 6th best home run hitting team and have the 9th best batting average in the league. New York’s offense is led by Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo, who are tied for the team lead in home runs and are also the team’s top two run producers.
Brandon Nimmo and J.D. Martinez have been two of the Mets’ top hitters of late, with Nimmo batting .389 over his last nine games and Martinez hitting .353 over his last 10. Nimmo has also gone deep three times in this stretch and has 13 RBIs. Currently, Nimmo is on a seven-game hitting streak.
Cubs Records & Stats
With a record of 36-40, the Cubs are 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by eight games. So far, they have gone just 9-17 against other teams in the NL Central. The Cubs are looking to bounce back in the series vs. the Mets, as they dropped the first game.
At home, the Cubs are 21-17 this season, compared to 15-23 on the road. As the home underdog, the Cubs have gone 7-4 this season, and they are 17-22 as the underdog overall. Chicago’s series record is 9-13-2 this year, and they are 19-18 as the favorite.
Chicago has been a below-average team against the run line this season, going 36-40 overall. They have been particularly bad at home, going 14-24. However, they have been much better on the road, going 22-16. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 26-13, but a poor bet as a favorite, going 10-27.
Chicago Cubs games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-40. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and they have played 76 games with over/under lines lower than today’s line of 12. The over has hit in their last two games.
Right-hander Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Cubs today and comes in with a record of 3-3 and ERA of 3.08. In his 11 starts, he has made five quality starts and is averaging 6.31 strikeouts per nine innings. Taillon’s most recent outing came vs. the Cardinals, where he took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Taillon has been much better at home, coming in with a 3.53 ERA compared to 3.0 on the road.
Chicago’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 19th in the league. They are also 19th in team batting average at .229. The Cubs have been a below-average power-hitting team this season, as they are 16th in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of .369.
Christopher Morel leads the Cubs in home runs this season with 13, but he is batting just .198. Cody Bellinger and Ian Happ are both batting in the low .200s, but Bellinger has gone 12/38 in his last 10 games, while Happ is 10/30 in his last nine games. Both players have six runs scored during these stretches.