Minnesota Twins vs Oakland Athletics Betting Pick & Prediction 6/21/24
Joey Estes is starting for the Athletics on Friday, as they are playing host to the Twins, who will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. However, the Athletics are heavy underdogs on the money line (+141), and the over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
Chris Paddack will be starting for the Twins, who are 3rd in the AL Central with a record of 41-34. As for the Athletics, they are 5th in the AL West and have an overall record of 28-49. BSN is carrying this game on TV. First pitch from Oakland Coliseum is set for 9:40 PM ET.
OAKLAND ATHLETICS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Oakland Athletics Moneyline +141
This game will be played at Oakland Coliseum at 9:40 ET on Friday, June 21st.
HOW TO BET THE TWINS VS ATHLETICS:
- We have the Athletics winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Athletics to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 7-6 loss to Tampa Bay, Carlos Santana went 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs, and Jose Miranda went 2/5 with a run scored. The Twins also got a good start from Simeon Woods Richardson, going six innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. However, they couldnjson’t close things out, and Griffin Jax took the loss out of the bullpen.
The Twins were the -140 favorite at home going into the game but fell behind early, as the Rays scored three times in the 2nd. Minnesota’s offense scored their first run in the 2nd and added three more in the 3rd to take the lead. However, the Twins couldn’t hold on, and Tampa Bay scored three runs in the top of the 9th to pick up the win.
Minnesota is 41-34 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL Central. Currently, they trail the Guardians by 6.5 games. The Twins dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Rays. So far, they have gone 15-11 in divisional games.
At home, the Twins have gone 23-16 this season, and they are an even 18-18 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota is 32-18 this year, and they are 9-16 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 13-9-2, and they have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games overall.
The Twins have been a tough team to bet on this season, as they have an overall run line record of 33-42. They have been a much better bet on the road, where they are 18-18 against the run line, compared to just 15-24 at home. Their average run margin on the road is exactly 0.0, while they have been outscored by 0.4 runs per game at home. They have been a much better bet as an underdog, going 12-13 against the run line in those games, compared to just 21-29 as the favorite.
Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 34-39. Their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs per game, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 10-13. Only 12% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 8.5 runs, and 57.3% of their games have had lower over/under lines.
Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today and comes in with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 5.25. Looking at his overall numbers, Paddack has made 14 appearances, 13 of which were starts. He has a WHIP of 1.41 and batting average allowed of .288. Paddack has turned in four quality starts this year and is averaging 8.19 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts without giving up an earned run.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the top power threats for the Twins this season, with each player having 12 homers. Santana’s 38 RBIs are the best on the team, and Jeffers is right behind him with 37. Both players have also been hot of late, with Santana going 17/34 in his last eight games, including three homers, and Jeffers also has five homers in his last seven games. Royce Lewis has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/28 in his last seven games, with five homers.
As a team, the Twins are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. So far, they have been a good power hitting team, as they are 4th in isolated power and 5th in slugging percentage.
Athletics Records & Stats
The Athletics wrapped up their series vs. the Royals with a 3-2 loss. Oakland was the +128 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Athletics, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Royals scored in the top of the 2nd.
Mitch Spence put together a good start for the Athletics, going six innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the loss. Zack Gelof had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Oakland is 5th in the AL West with a record of 28-49, putting them 16 games behind the Mariners for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL West teams, going 6-14. The Athletics have been really bad on the road, putting together a record of 11-28. At home, they are just under .500 at 17-21.
As the home underdog, the Athletics are 11-19 this year and 22-47 as the underdog overall. When favored, Oakland has gone 6-2 this year, and they will be the favorite in today’s matchup vs. the Twins. The team’s overall series record is 8-15-1, and they are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall.
The A’s have been a solid play on the run line this season, going 39-38. They have been especially good as the underdog, going 37-32. They are 20-19 on the run line on the road, and 19-19 at home. They have covered the run line in three straight at home and are 4-0 in their last four as the underdog.
With the over/under line set at 8.5 runs, the Oakland Athletics have played to an over/under record of 33-42 this season. Their combined run average is 8.4 runs per game, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-12. Only 10.4% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Right-hander Joey Estes gets the start for the Athletics today as he faces the Twins at home. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with a 5.97 ERA. Opponents are batting .265 off Estes this year, and his WHIP is 1.30. In his last outing, Estes finished with a no-decision, giving up six earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win and not giving up a run in 6 1/3 innings of work. Estes has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.
As a team, the Athletics are batting just .223 this season, which is 21st in the league. However, they have the 6th most home runs in the league and have the 11th best isolated power mark in the league. Overall, they are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. At home, they have been slightly better, averaging 4.1 runs per contest.
Abraham Toro has been a solid addition to the lineup, as he is batting .259 and has six homers. Brent Rooker and Shea Langeliers are tied for the team lead in homers, but Langeliers is batting just .202 this season. Rooker comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and has three homers in his last six games.