Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies Betting Pick & Prediction 6/21/24
At 8:40 PM ET, the Nationals and Rockies face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Coors Field in Denver, and the Nationals are the betting favorite on the money line (-116). The Rockies are 5th in the NL West and have a record of 26-49, while the Nationals are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 36-38.
Friday’s over/under line is at 11 runs, and DJ Herz is slated to start for the Nationals. The Rockies are starting Dakota Hudson.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Colorado Rockies Moneyline -104
This game will be played at Coors Field at 8:40 ET on Friday, June 21st.
HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS ROCKIES:
- We have the Rockies winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rockies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
Nationals Records & Stats
The Nationals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Diamondbacks scored three runs in the top of the 4th. Washington was the -143 favorite at home going into the game.
MacKenzie Gore had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on 10 hits and issuing two walks. Jesse Winker and Lane Thomas each had only one hit, but they both scored a run. Winker’s hit was a home run, but the Nationals couldn ‘t get anything else going, and they lost the game 5-2.
Washington is 36-38 overall and trails the Phillies by 13 games in the NL East. So far, they have gone 14-10 in divisional matchups. The Nationals are on the road today, where they are 19-19 this season.
The Nationals have been the favorite in 11 of their games, going 6-5 in those matchups. They have been the underdog in the majority of their games, where they have a record of 30-33. Washington has dropped two straight games as the favorite, and they are coming off losing their series vs. the Diamondbacks.
Washington has been a good bet against the run line overall this season, going 45-29. They have been especially good on the road, going 25-13. The Nationals have been a good bet as the underdog, going 39-24 against the run line. Their average run margin in wins is +3.3, while in losses it is -3.5.
The Washington Nationals are on the road today against the Colorado Rockies. The over/under line for the game is set at 11 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.1 runs per game. The Nationals have hit the under in 74 of their 74 games this season, and their current under streak is at five games.
DJ Herz will be making his first road start of the season for the Nationals, as they take on the Rockies. Herz has been a strikeout machine in his first two starts, racking up 13 K’s in his first outing and 5 in his last start. He’s yet to give up a home run this season, but did give up 7 hits in his last start.
Washington’s offense has been led by CJ Abrams and Joey Meneses, who are tied for the team lead with 36 RBIs. Abrams has been hot of late, going 10/23 in his last six games with one home run. For the season, he is batting .261. Jesse Winker has been consistent all season, hitting .270 with eight homers, which is 2nd on the team.
As a team, the Nationals are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team OPS. Overall, they are batting .232 and have an on-base percentage of just .302. Washington does come into the game with two of their top hitters on solid hitting streaks, as Abrams and Winker have hit safely in 11 and five straight games, respectively.
Rockies Records & Stats
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 5-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Dodgers scored two runs in the top of the 9th. Colorado was the +181 underdog at home going into the game.
Ty Blach got the start for the Rockies and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up five earned runs on 10 hits. Ryan McMahon had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring three runs. The Rockies also had a big game from Jake Cave, going 2/3 with two RBIs.
With a record of 26-49, the Rockies are in 5th place in the NL West, 20 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 10-17 in divisional matchups. Colorado will be at home today, hosting the Nationals, and they are 15-22 at home this year.
As the underdog, the Rockies have yet to win a game when favored this year. Their overall record as the underdog is 26-49. Looking at their overall series record, the Rockies are 4-18-2 and have lost three straight series.
Colorado has a losing run line record overall, but they’ve been slightly better at home, going 17-20. Their average run margin is -1.6 runs per game, and they’ve been outscored by 1.2 runs per game at home. Their average run margin in wins is +3.2 runs per game, while it’s -4.1 runs per game in losses.
The Rockies have played a lot of high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 10.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 39-35, and their average over/under line is 9 runs. When the line has been set at 11 runs, their record is 5-4-1, and they have played in 10.7% of their games with a line of 11 runs or higher.
Colorado starter Dakota Hudson will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Pirates, where he gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Hudson has a record of 2-9 this season and an ERA of 4.89. Looking at his home/away splits, Hudson is 0-4 with a 7.98 ERA at home compared to 2-5 with a 3.13 ERA on the road. So far, he has made 14 starts, four of which were quality starts. Per nine innings, Hudson is averaging 5.01 strikeouts and 4.4 walks.
So far this season, the Rockies offense has been a middle-of-the-pack unit, averaging 4.3 runs per game. However, they have been better at home, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league, and have the 2nd best BABIP in the league. One area they have struggled in is with strikeouts, as they are 26th in the league in this category.
Ryan McMahon has been swinging the bat well for the Rockies of late, going 9/26 in his last six games with a home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .274 with a team-high 13 homers and 40 RBIs. Ezequiel Tovar is also having a good season at the plate, batting .280 with 11 homers and 35 RBIs. Tovar has gone deep in three of his last six games.