Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 6/21/24
The Orioles are the heavy favorite heading into Friday’s matchup vs. the Astros, with their money line odds sitting at -158 compared to the Astros at +133. This one will get started at 8:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston, and the Orioles are 49-25, while the Astros are 35-40.
Both teams have won two straight heading into the game, and Jake Bloss is set to start for the Astros, while the Orioles are sending Grayson Rodriguez to the mound. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the Astros are +133 to win, while the Orioles are the second favorite to win the AL East.
HOUSTON ASTROS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline +133
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Friday, June 21st.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS ASTROS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Astros to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Orioles Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Yankees, the Orioles closed out the series with a 17-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +143 on the money line. It was a six-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Yankees could only score one run in the 3rd before the Orioles added another six runs in the 4th.
Cole Irvin got the start for the Orioles, going 4 2/3 innings, and took the win. He did give up five earned runs, but the Orioles’s offense bailed him out, scoring 17 runs on json19 hits. Anthony Santander went 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs, and Ryan Mountcastle was 3/6 with two doubles and four RBIs.
Baltimore is 49-25 overall and 2nd in the AL East, just a half-game behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles took two straight games to close out their series vs. the Yankees. So far, they have been excellent against other teams in the AL East, going 19-7.
At home, the Orioles are 25-14 this year and have gone 24-11 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 39-20 and 10-5 as the underdog. Baltimore has an overall series record of 17-4-3 and has won four straight series.
The Orioles are currently on a two-game run line win streak on the road and have covered the run line in 24 of their 35 road games this season. They are 12-3 against the run line as an underdog, covering by an average of 2.8 runs per game in those contests.
The Orioles have been a strong over team this season, with a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 37-27, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 13-8. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, but their over streak is at 2 games.
Grayson Rodriguez has been pitching well for the Orioles, as he has won each of his last three starts. Most recently, he faced the Phillies and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Rodriguez is 8-2 with a 3.20 ERA. Opponents are batting .230 this season off the right-hander. Rodriguez has made six starts on the road and is 4-1 with a 4.78 ERA in those outings. At home, his ERA is 2.18.
Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs, but they also have the best team batting average in the league at .252. As a team, they are averaging 5.3 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Baltimore also leads the league in slugging percentage and have the best isolated power rating in the league.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, as Rutschman has 14 homers, and Henderson is right behind him with 22 long balls. Rutschman is also hitting .293, and Henderson comes into the game with a batting average of .279. Anthony Santander has also been hitting the ball well of late, going 6/20 in his last five games, with four homers.
Astros Records & Stats
Houston closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a 5-3 win on the road. Leading up to the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -179. Offensively, the Astros scored their five runs on json11 hits and only hit one home run.
Spencer Arrighetti got the start for the Astros but only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs. He also issued four walks and took the loss. The Astros bullpen was excellent, though, going 4 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. Tayler Scott got the win out of the bullpen, and Josh Hader picked up the save.
The Astros kick off their series vs. the Orioles eight games behind the Mariners for the AL West lead. Houston is 35-40 overall and 15-12 against other AL West teams. The Astros have won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the White Sox with a win.
So far, the Astros have gone 19-19 at home compared to 16-21 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 28-32 this year and 7-8 as the underdog. Houston’s overall series record is 12-11-1, and they have won two straight series.
When it comes to betting the run line on the Astros, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 33-42 overall, but just 17-21 at home. Their average run margin is +0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.5 runs per game on the road. They have been a favorite in 60 games, going 25-35 on the run line, while they are 8-7 as the underdog.
The Astros are home favorites against the Orioles today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Astros games this season is 8.7, and their over/under record is 26-46. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 6-13. The under has hit in their last four games.
For today’s game against the Orioles, the Astros will rely on Jake Bloss to set the tone. It’s his debut for the season and he’s looking to put together a strong start in his debut.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .259. They have also been great at avoiding strikeouts, as they are the league’s top team in fewest strikeouts per game. Houston has been a good home run-hitting team this season and are 4th in the league in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the MLB.
Yordan Alvarez has been a big power threat for the Astros this season, as his 15 homers are the 2nd most on the team and 9th best in the league. Kyle Tucker is right ahead of him, with 19 homers, which is the best mark on the team and 5th in the league. Tucker also leads the team in RBIs, with 40. Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez are both hitting .296 for the season, with Altuve having 11 homers and Alvarez at 15.