Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 6/19/24

At 7:05 PM ET, the Orioles and Yankees square off in an AL East matchup. This one is taking place at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -174. The Orioles have a record of 47-25 and they are 2nd in the AL East.
Wednesday’s forecast in New York calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 80s. AMZP is carrying this game on TV, and the over/under line is currently 8.5 runs. Gerrit Cole is starting for the Yankees, while the Orioles are going with Cade Povich.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -174
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Wednesday, June 19th.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS YANKEES:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Orioles to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a two-run 9th inning for the Orioles’ offense, they picked up a 4-2 road win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -144 on the money line.
The Yankees had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th, as they scored one run and had the bases loaded with two outs. However, Aroldis Chapman closed things out for the Orioles.
Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees, going six innings and giving up two hits and no earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but didn’t factor into the decision. Albert Suarez only went 3 2/3 innings for the Orioles, giving up three runs on six hits.
Orioles Records & Stats
The Orioles are 47-25 overall and trail the Yankees by 2.5 games in the AL East. So far, they have gone 17-7 against other teams in the AL East. Baltimore is playing as the road team today and are 22-11 on the road this year.
As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 39-20 this year, and they are 8-5 when listed as the underdog. Baltimore has an overall series record of 16-4-3 this year and have won three straight series.
The Orioles have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 44-28 overall. They have been particularly strong on the road, where they are 22-11 vs. the run line. Baltimore has an average run margin of +1.6 runs per game this season.
The Baltimore Orioles are on the road against the New York Yankees today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5, which is slightly lower than their combined run average of 8.6. The Orioles have hit the over in 35 of their 62 games this season, and their average O/U line is 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 8.5, they have hit the over in 12 of 20 games.
Cade Povich will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Orioles, and it will be on the road against the Yankees. Povich has a no-decision and a loss in his first 2 starts, and in his last outing, he went 6 innings and gave up 6 hits and 2 earned runs.
The Orioles come into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Baltimore also leads the league in home runs and has the league’s best isolated power figure. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league.
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, as Rutschman has 14 homers and Henderson has 22. Rutschman is also batting .292 for the season, while Henderson comes into the game with a batting average of .273. Over his last nine games, Anthony Santander has five homers and is batting .257.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees are 51-24 overall this season, and they lead the AL East by 2.5 games over the Orioles. So far, they are 10-10 in divisional games. The Yankees took the series opener vs. the Orioles and have an overall series record of 17-4-2 this year.
At home, the Yankees have gone 23-10 this year compared to 28-14 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 39-19 this year and 12-5 as the underdog. New York has won two straight at home, and their overall record as the home favorite is 22-9 this year. Heading into today’s game, the Yankees have gone 6-4 over their last ten.
When betting the run line, the Yankees are 45-30 on the season, including 19-14 at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games, and as the favorite, they are 31-27. As the underdog, they are 14-3. Their average run margin is +1.7 runs per game, and they have a +1.5 run differential at home and a +1.8 run differential on the road.
Today’s over/under line for the New York Yankees’ game against the Baltimore Orioles is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-38. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 17-13. Overall, 24.0% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs.
Gerrit Cole is coming off a season in which he made 33 starts and went 15-4. His ERA for the season was 2.63, and he made two complete games and two shutouts. Cole’s WHIP for the season was .98, and he had a batting average allowed of .203. Last season, Cole made two appearances against the Orioles and went 0-0 with an ERA of 1.8.
Not only do the Yankees have the 2nd best home run total in the league, but they are also near the top of the league in runs per game, at 5 per contest. New York’s offense is also one of the best in terms of on-base percentage and OPS. So far, they have been a good home team, averaging 4.8 runs per game.
Heading into the game, Aaron Judge is leading the MLB in both home runs and RBIs, while batting .302. Over his last nine games, he has gone 12/34 with five homers and nine RBIs. Juan Soto has also been a big run producer for the Yankees, as his 55 RBIs is 4th in the league. Soto is also batting .313 and has gone deep 18 times this season.