Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 6/18/24
The Red Sox and Blue Jays will face off in an AL East matchup at 7:07 PM ET at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. Boston is currently on a three-game winning streak, and their record of 38-35 has them 3rd in the AL East. The Blue Jays are 4th in the AL East with a record of 35-37.
Boston is sending Tanner Houck to the mound, while the Blue Jays will have Chris Bassitt starting. On the money line, the Red Sox are the slight favorite, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. NESN will be televising Tuesday’s game.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline +100
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Tuesday, June 18th.
HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Boston cruised to a 7-3 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their seven runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their first run in the 2nd and added their final two runs in the 7th.
Nick Pivetta pitched well for the Red Sox in this one, going seven innings and giving up just three earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts and allowed two home runs. Yusei Kikuchi had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, giving up five earned runs in just four innings of work.
Offensively, the Red Sox were led by Tyler O’Neill, who homered twice and went 2/4 at the plate. He scored two runs and drove in two RBIs. Ceddanne Rafaela also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston is on a three-game winning streak, and they are 38-35 overall this season. In the AL East, they trail the Yankees by 11.5 games and are 3rd in the division. So far, they are 8-9 in AL East matchups. The Red Sox picked up a win over the Blue Jays in the first game of the series.
At home, the Red Sox are 18-20 this year, and they have gone 20-15 on the road. As the road favorite, Boston is 8-2 this year and 19-14 as the favorite overall. They have been the underdog in 40 games, and they are 19-21 in those matchups. Looking at their overall series record, the Red Sox are 10-9-4 and have won two straight series.
When betting on the Red Sox, it’s been more profitable to take them on the run line on the road, where they’re 21-14 overall and have covered in each of their last two games. They’ve been a better run line bet as the underdog than as the favorite, and their average run differential in winning games is +4.6, compared to -3.7 in losses.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road against the Toronto Blue Jays today. The O/U line is set at 8 runs, which is below their combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Red Sox have an O/U record of 33-35 on the season, and their games have averaged exactly 8 runs per game. The O/U record for games with an 8-run line is 6-5-2, and the over has hit in three straight games.
Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today and comes in with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 2.08. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and has one complete game shutout. Houck has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went six innings, giving up three earned runs, and got the win. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Houck has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 1.68 compared to 3-3 with a 2.55 ERA at home.
The Red Sox offense comes into today’s game as one of the top-scoring teams in the league, averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB right now. Boston also doesn’t strike out a lot, as their 9 strikeouts per game is the 27th best mark in the league.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been a great 1-2 punch in the lineup so far, as Devers leads the team with 14 homers and is 2nd on the team with 38 RBIs. O’Neill also has 14 homers and is 4th on the team with 25 RBIs. Ceddanne Rafaela comes into the game on a 6-game hitting streak, and he has gone 11/19 in his last five games.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
The Blue Jays are 35-37 overall, putting them 4th in the AL East, and they are 14.0 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 9-11 in AL East matchups. Toronto is hoping to pick up a win today, as they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox. Currently, they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Blue Jays are 18-17 this season compared to 17-20 on the road. As the underdog, Toronto has dropped five straight, and they are 6-18 as the underdog overall. The Blue Jays’ series record is 9-10-4 this year.
When betting the Blue Jays on the run line, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road. They are 21-16 against the run line away from home, compared to 12-23 at home. They have an average run differential of -0.5 runs per game, but their average run differential in winning games is +3.1 runs.
The Toronto Blue Jays are home today against the Boston Red Sox, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Blue Jays’ games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 31-39. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-10-1. So far this season, 38.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and 31.9% have had lower lines. The Blue Jays are currently on a two-game over streak.
Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and comes in with a record of 6-6 and an ERA of 3.56. So far this season, he has made 14 starts, and opponents are batting .254 off the right-hander. Bassitt has turned in six quality starts this year and is averaging 8.62 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Bassitt went five innings and didn’t give up a run, finishing with a no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight starts. Bassitt has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 3.26 compared to 5.87 at home.
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .233, and their team on-base percentage of .310 is just 12th in the league. One of the few bright spots for the team has been their ability to avoid strikeouts, as they have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider have been two of the Blue Jays’ top power threats this season, but both are looking to get back on track, as Varsho is batting .216 and Schneider is hitting just .225 in 2023. Schneider has just two homers in his last eight games, and is hitting just .182 over that stretch. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. comes into the game with a three-game hitting streak and is batting .284 for the season.