Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 6/16/24
The Blue Jays head into Sunday’s matchup vs. the Guardians looking to move above .500 for the season, as they are 34-36. Cleveland, on the other hand, is 44-24 and they are 1st in the AL Central. José Berrios will start for the Blue Jays, and the Guardians are starting Ben Lively.
First pitch from the Rogers Centre is set for 1:37 PM ET, and SNET will be televising this AL matchup. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the Blue Jays are the betting favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -130 compared to the Guardians at +111.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -130
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 1:37 ET on Sunday, June 16th.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Toronto cruised to an easy 5-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a three-run 2nd inning and added two more in the 5th. As for the Guardians, they had their best scoring chance in the 4th when they put up one run and left the bases loaded.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa was the only Blue Jays hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/3 with an RBI. Steven Kwan did the most damage for the Guardians, going 3/4.
Trevor Richards only went 2 1/3 innings for the Blue Jays but didn’t give up a run and got the win. Carlos Carrasco had a rough outing for the Guardians, taking the loss.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is 44-24 overall and leads the AL Central by five games over the Royals. The Guardians are 11-6 against other teams in the division and are looking to take today’s game vs. the Blue Jays to win the series. So far, they have been very good in series, putting together a mark of 15-5-2.
At home, the Guardians have gone 21-8 this year, and they have been a solid team on the road, coming in with a record of 23-16. This season, they have been really good in day games, going 17-7.
So far, the Guardians have been the favorite in most of their games, where they are 30-14. As for their games as the underdog, they are 14-10 this year. In their last 10 games overall, the Guardians are 5-5.
The Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, going 38-30 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where their run line record is 22-17. They have an average run margin of 1.3 runs per game this season.
The Cleveland Guardians have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 8.6. Their over/under record is 31-32, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the Guardians’ over/under record is 11-7. In total, 45 of their games have had over/under lines set above 7.5 runs, which accounts for 66.2% of their games. They have had an under streak of 4 games.
Ben Lively has been pitching well for the Guardians, as he has won each of his last four starts. Most recently, he faced the Marlins on June 8th and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. In that outing, he only gave up one hit. Lively’s record for the season is 6-2, and his ERA is 2.59. Opponents are batting .222 off the right-hander this season. Lively has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 7.76 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed seven homers.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 18 homers are 5th in the league, and Naylor’s 17 round-trippers are 6th in the MLB. Ramirez also comes into the game with the 2nd most RBIs in the league (62), while Naylor’s 50 RBIs are 6th best in the league. Naylor is also on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 8/27 in his last seven games.
Over his last six games, Jose Ramirez has gone just 5/25, but he does have four runs scored over that stretch. Brayan Rocchio has gone just 4/19 in his last seven games, and Will Brennan is just 3/17 in his last six games. However, Steven Kwan is batting .522 over his last six games and is on a 10-game hitting streak.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is 34-36 overall and 14.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Blue Jays are 9-10 in divisional games this season. They will be at home today, hosting the Guardians, and Toronto is 17-16 at home this season.
As the favorite, the Blue Jays have gone 28-18 this season, and they are 6-18 as the underdog. Toronto is 8-10-4 in series this year, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall. So far, they have split the first two games of this series vs. the Guardians.
When betting the run line with the Blue Jays, it has been more profitable to take them on the road, where they are 21-16. Toronto’s average run margin is -0.5, and they have a run line record of 33-37 overall. The Blue Jays have been favored in 46 games this season, going 23-23 against the run line in those contests.
The Blue Jays have a combined run average of 8.2 runs per game this season, and their games have gone over the total 29 times and under 39 times. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 10 of 18 games. Overall, 70% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5-run total, and the under has hit in each of their last two games.
José Berríos is getting the start for the Blue Jays today and comes into the game with a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 2.93. This year, he has made 14 starts, and opponents are batting .227. Berríos has turned in 11 quality starts and one complete game. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Berríos has been much better at home, coming in with a 3-1 record and 1.89 ERA compared to 2-4 with a 4.71 ERA on the road.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. As a team, they are batting .231, which is 15th in the league. Toronto’s offense has been near the bottom of the league in home runs and isolated power so far this season. The team’s collective on-base percentage of .308 is also below the league average.
Davis Schneider comes into the game as the Blue Jays’ leader in RBIs, with 33, and is 2nd on the team with eight home runs. However, he is hitting just .230 for the season and has gone 3/14 in his last six games. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is 2nd on the team in RBIs (30) and is batting .277 for the season. He has also gone deep seven times this year.